Language:English
Incheon United v Bucheon FC 1995
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Incheon United (Local)
Prediction 46.24%2.16fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.83%46.40%46.32%49.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.941.982.0857.47%51.48%50.51%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bucheon FC 1995 (Visit)
Prediction 24.91%4.01fair odd
EV +1.15%
Edge +0.283%
Kelly +0.376%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.22%24.77%24.95%26.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.763.754.0628.99%26.61%26.67%24.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.84%3.47fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -0.569%
Kelly -0.806%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.86%28.84%28.73%29.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.153.103.4033.33%31.78%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Incheon United (Local): 46.24%; Bucheon FC 1995 (Visit): 24.91%; Draw: 28.84%. For Bucheon FC 1995 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.50%EV -3.81%E -1.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.82%EV +1.15%E +0.283%K +0.376%G +0.004% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.67%EV -5.97%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-08 10:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -15.38%E -8.40%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-08 09:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -16.30%E -9.01%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-08 08:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -16.30%E -9.01%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-08 08:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -16.30%E -9.01%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-08 08:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -16.30%E -9.01%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-08 08:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -16.30%E -9.01%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-08 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -16.30%E -9.01%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-08 08:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -16.30%E -9.01%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-08 08:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -16.30%E -9.01%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-08 08:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -16.30%E -9.01%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-08 08:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -16.30%E -9.01%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-08 08:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -16.76%E -9.31%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.38%EV -1.59%E -0.403%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 09:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.19%EV -6.13%E -3.02%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -2.84%E -0.727%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 10:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -10.75%E -5.57%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -2.84%E -0.727%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 10:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.16%EV -18.15%E -10.25%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.31%EV -2.84%E -0.727%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-08 09:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.80%EV -6.13%E -3.02%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -4.08%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.53%EV -3.95%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 10:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -4.08%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-08 10:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.21%EV -19.54%E -11.23%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.24%EV -4.08%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-08 08:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.39%EV -7.05%E -3.51%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -4.33%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -8.28%E -2.60%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 10:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 10:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%EV -3.81%E -1.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 10:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%EV -3.81%E -1.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 10:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -6.59%E -3.26%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -1.93%E -0.569%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 10:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 10:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -6.59%E -3.26%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 10:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 10:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 10:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 10:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-08 10:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-08 10:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.68%E -6.11%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-08 10:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -8.44%E -4.26%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 10:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.12%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 10:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.03%EV -10.29%E -5.30%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 10:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.21%EV -11.68%E -6.11%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.94%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-08 10:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.80%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.80%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 10:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.80%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.80%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 10:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.80%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 10:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.13%EV -11.21%E -5.84%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.80%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 10:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -14.05%E -4.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-08 10:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56% | 1.0% | 2026-09-08 10:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56% | 1.0% | 2026-09-08 10:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-09-08 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-09-08 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-09-08 10:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 2.1% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |