Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Incheon United v Bucheon FC 1995

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-08 10:30 UTC

Score final : Incheon United 2–1 Bucheon FC 1995

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Incheon United (Local)

Prévision 46.24%2.16cote équitable
EV -3.81%
Avantage -1.83%
Kelly -3.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.83%46.40%46.32%49.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.741.941.982.0857.47%51.48%50.51%48.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Bucheon FC 1995 (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.91%4.01cote équitable
EV +1.15%
Avantage +0.283%
Kelly +0.376%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.22%24.77%24.95%26.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.763.754.0628.99%26.61%26.67%24.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.84%3.47cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -0.569%
Kelly -0.806%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.86%28.84%28.73%29.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.153.103.4033.33%31.78%32.26%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Incheon United (Local) : 46.24% ; Bucheon FC 1995 (Visiteur) : 24.91% ; Match nul : 28.84%. Pour Bucheon FC 1995 (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.01. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.06, soit une espérance positive de +1.15%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.50%EV -3.81%E -1.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.82%EV +1.15%E +0.283%K +0.376%G +0.004%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.67%EV -5.97%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-08 10:15
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 10:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -15.38%E -8.40%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-08 09:34
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -16.30%E -9.01%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 08:45
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -16.30%E -9.01%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 08:45
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -16.30%E -9.01%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 08:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -16.30%E -9.01%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 08:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -16.30%E -9.01%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 08:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -16.30%E -9.01%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 08:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -16.30%E -9.01%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 08:45
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -16.30%E -9.01%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 08:45
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -16.30%E -9.01%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 08:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -16.30%E -9.01%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -0.345%E -0.086%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -16.76%E -9.31%K -20.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.38%EV -1.59%E -0.403%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 09:34
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.19%EV -6.13%E -3.02%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -2.84%E -0.727%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 10:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -10.75%E -5.57%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -2.84%E -0.727%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 10:19
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.16%EV -18.15%E -10.25%K -23.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.31%EV -2.84%E -0.727%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-08 09:34
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.80%EV -6.13%E -3.02%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -4.08%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.53%EV -3.95%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 10:25
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -4.08%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 10:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.21%EV -19.54%E -11.23%K -26.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.24%EV -4.08%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-08 08:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.39%EV -7.05%E -3.51%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -4.33%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -8.28%E -2.60%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:24
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 10:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%EV -3.81%E -1.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 10:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%EV -3.81%E -1.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 10:25
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -6.59%E -3.26%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -1.93%E -0.569%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 10:00
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 10:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 10:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 10:05
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -6.59%E -3.26%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 10:25
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 10:15
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 10:15
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 10:09
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 10:00
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 10:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 10:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 10:05
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.68%E -6.11%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-08 10:25
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-08 10:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -8.44%E -4.26%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 10:15
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.12%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-08 10:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.03%EV -10.29%E -5.30%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 10:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.21%EV -11.68%E -6.11%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.94%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-08 10:25
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.80%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.80%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 10:10
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.80%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 10:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.80%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 10:10
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.80%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 10:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.13%EV -11.21%E -5.84%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.80%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -10.59%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 10:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -14.05%E -4.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-08 10:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%1.0%2026-09-08 10:15
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%1.0%2026-09-08 10:25
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-09-08 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-09-08 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-09-08 10:20
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-09-08 10:00