Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gwangju FC v Ulsan Hyundai FC

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 10:30 UTC

Final: Gwangju FC 1–1 Ulsan Hyundai FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gwangju FC (Local)

Prediction 15.42%6.49fair odd
EV +4.06%
Edge +0.601%
Kelly +0.706%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 6.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.70%15.29%15.47%16.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.306.126.006.7518.87%16.35%16.67%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visit)

Prediction 61.90%1.62fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -6.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.66%61.94%61.92%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.481.5671.43%68.08%67.57%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.68%4.41fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.410%
Kelly -0.533%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.80%22.77%22.61%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.963.904.3326.67%25.23%25.64%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gwangju FC (Local): 15.42%; Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visit): 61.90%; Draw: 22.68%. For Gwangju FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.49. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +4.06%E +0.601%K +0.706%G +0.029%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -9.26%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV +4.06%E +0.601%K +0.706%G +0.029%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.90%EV -9.01%E -6.13%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 10:15
Pinnacle🎯6.64I 15.06%NM 14.49%EV +2.36%E +0.356%K +0.419%G +0.010%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -5.91%E -3.89%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.22%EV -1.77%E -0.410%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 10:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.26%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 09:30
SportsBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -8.39%E -5.67%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.99%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 09:30
betfred_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -10.87%E -7.55%K -24.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.26%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -10.87%E -7.55%K -24.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.53%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-05 10:15
Unibet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.67%EV -10.87%E -7.55%K -24.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-05 10:15
LiveScore Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.67%EV -10.87%E -7.55%K -24.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-05 10:15
Virgin Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.67%EV -10.87%E -7.55%K -24.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-05 10:15
TABtouch🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.84%EV -11.48%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.34%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-05 10:15
Unibet (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.84%EV -11.48%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.34%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-05 10:15
Unibet (NL)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.84%EV -11.48%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.34%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-05 10:15
Grosvenor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.84%EV -11.48%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.34%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-05 10:15
Casumo🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.84%EV -11.48%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.34%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-05 10:15
betPARX🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.84%EV -11.48%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.34%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-05 10:14
ATG (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.84%EV -11.48%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.34%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-05 10:15
BetRivers🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.01%EV -1.34%E -0.209%K -0.248%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.70%EV -11.48%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-05 10:15
PMU (FR)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.74%EV -1.34%E -0.209%K -0.248%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.81%EV -13.34%E -9.53%K -33.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -14.93%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-05 10:15
PlayUp🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -3.65%E -0.584%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.05%EV -5.91%E -3.89%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 10:25
Betr (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -3.65%E -0.584%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.35%EV -10.25%E -7.07%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.53%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-05 09:30
Marathon Bet🎯6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -5.19%E -0.844%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -7.77%E -5.21%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 10:10
LowVig.ag🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.99%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 10:25
BetOnline.ag🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.99%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 10:25
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -6.53%E -4.33%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 10:25
Unibet (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 09:35
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 10:10
BetMGM🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.99%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 09:54
Bovada🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -8.39%E -5.67%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.99%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 10:20
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.53%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 10:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.53%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 10:15
Tipico (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.53%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 10:10
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.87%E -7.55%K -24.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -9.26%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-05 09:30
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -10.87%E -7.55%K -24.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -13.80%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-05 09:30
1xBet🎯5.99I 16.69%NM 15.84%EV -7.66%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.44%E -2.20%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.36%EV -7.90%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 10:20
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.58%EV -9.05%E -1.53%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.77%E -5.21%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%EV -8.13%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 09:35
NordicBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.58%EV -9.05%E -1.53%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.77%E -5.21%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%EV -8.13%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 09:35
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -11.36%E -1.98%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.26%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 10:05
LeoVegas🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 15.73%EV -12.13%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.85%EV -10.25%E -7.07%K -22.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -9.26%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-05 10:20
NetBet (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 15.26%EV -12.13%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.14%EV -13.34%E -9.53%K -33.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.60%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-05 10:24
Winamax (DE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.35%EV -13.67%E -2.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.39%E -5.67%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 09:35
Unibet (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.56%EV -13.67%E -2.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 61.80%EV -12.72%E -9.02%K -31.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.63%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-05 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -15.21%E -2.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -8.39%E -5.67%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.53%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-05 09:55
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -15.21%E -2.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -8.39%E -5.67%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.53%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-05 09:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -15.21%E -2.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -8.39%E -5.67%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.53%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-05 09:55
Neds🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -15.21%E -2.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -8.39%E -5.67%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.53%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-05 09:55
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -15.21%E -2.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -10.87%E -7.55%K -24.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -13.80%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-05 10:05
Winamax (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.60%EV -18.30%E -3.45%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.12%EV -10.87%E -7.55%K -24.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-05 09:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-07-05 10:25
Kalshi7.14I 14.01%NM 13.88%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.78%0.9%2026-07-05 10:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-07-05 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-07-05 10:25
Matchbook7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-07-05 10:25
Smarkets7.00I 14.29%NM 13.98%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%2.2%2026-07-05 10:25