L’École des cotes

Gwangju FC v Ulsan Hyundai FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-05 10:30 UTC

Score final : Gwangju FC 1–1 Ulsan Hyundai FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gwangju FC (Local)

Prévision 15.42%6.49cote équitable
EV +4.06%
Avantage +0.601%
Kelly +0.706%
Croissance +0.029%

avec la cote maximale 6.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.70%15.29%15.47%16.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.306.126.006.7518.87%16.35%16.67%14.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.90%1.62cote équitable
EV -3.44%
Avantage -2.20%
Kelly -6.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.66%61.94%61.92%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.471.481.5671.43%68.08%67.57%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.68%4.41cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -0.410%
Kelly -0.533%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.80%22.77%22.61%24.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.753.963.904.3326.67%25.23%25.64%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +4.06%E +0.601%K +0.706%G +0.029%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -9.26%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 10:00
Svenska Spel6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV +4.06%E +0.601%K +0.706%G +0.029%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.90%EV -9.01%E -6.13%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 10:15
Pinnacle6.64I 15.06%NM 14.49%EV +2.36%E +0.356%K +0.419%G +0.010%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -5.91%E -3.89%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.22%EV -1.77%E -0.410%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 10:25
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.26%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 09:30
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -8.39%E -5.67%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.99%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 09:30
betfred_uk6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -10.87%E -7.55%K -24.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.26%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -10.87%E -7.55%K -24.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.53%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-05 10:15
Unibet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.67%EV -10.87%E -7.55%K -24.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-05 10:15
LiveScore Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.67%EV -10.87%E -7.55%K -24.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-05 10:15
Virgin Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.67%EV -10.87%E -7.55%K -24.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-05 10:15
TABtouch6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.84%EV -11.48%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.34%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-05 10:15
Unibet (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.84%EV -11.48%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.34%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-05 10:15
Unibet (NL)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.84%EV -11.48%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.34%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-05 10:15
Grosvenor6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.84%EV -11.48%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.34%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-05 10:15
Casumo6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.84%EV -11.48%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.34%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-05 10:15
betPARX6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.84%EV -11.48%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.34%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-05 10:14
ATG (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV +0.204%E +0.031%K +0.037%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.84%EV -11.48%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.34%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-05 10:15
BetRivers6.40I 15.63%NM 14.01%EV -1.34%E -0.209%K -0.248%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.70%EV -11.48%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-05 10:15
PMU (FR)6.40I 15.63%NM 13.74%EV -1.34%E -0.209%K -0.248%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.81%EV -13.34%E -9.53%K -33.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -14.93%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-05 10:15
PlayUp6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -3.65%E -0.584%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.05%EV -5.91%E -3.89%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 10:25
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -3.65%E -0.584%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.35%EV -10.25%E -7.07%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.53%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-05 09:30
Marathon Bet6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -5.19%E -0.844%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -7.77%E -5.21%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 10:10
LowVig.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.99%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 10:25
BetOnline.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.99%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 10:25
DraftKings6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -6.53%E -4.33%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 10:25
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 09:35
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 10:10
BetMGM6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.99%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 09:54
Bovada6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -8.39%E -5.67%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.99%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 10:20
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.53%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 10:15
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.53%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 10:15
Tipico (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.53%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 10:10
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.87%E -7.55%K -24.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -9.26%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-05 09:30
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -7.50%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -10.87%E -7.55%K -24.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -13.80%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-05 09:30
1xBet5.99I 16.69%NM 15.84%EV -7.66%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.44%E -2.20%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.36%EV -7.90%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 10:20
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 15.58%EV -9.05%E -1.53%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.77%E -5.21%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%EV -8.13%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 09:35
NordicBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.58%EV -9.05%E -1.53%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.77%E -5.21%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%EV -8.13%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 09:35
Fanatics5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -11.36%E -1.98%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.26%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 10:05
LeoVegas5.70I 17.54%NM 15.73%EV -12.13%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.85%EV -10.25%E -7.07%K -22.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -9.26%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-05 10:20
NetBet (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 15.26%EV -12.13%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.14%EV -13.34%E -9.53%K -33.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.60%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-05 10:24
Winamax (DE)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.35%EV -13.67%E -2.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.39%E -5.67%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 09:35
Unibet (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 15.56%EV -13.67%E -2.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 61.80%EV -12.72%E -9.02%K -31.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.63%EV -12.66%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-05 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -15.21%E -2.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -8.39%E -5.67%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.53%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-05 09:55
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -15.21%E -2.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -8.39%E -5.67%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.53%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-05 09:55
Ladbrokes (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -15.21%E -2.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -8.39%E -5.67%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.53%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-05 09:55
Neds5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -15.21%E -2.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -8.39%E -5.67%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.53%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-05 09:55
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -15.21%E -2.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -10.87%E -7.55%K -24.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -13.80%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-05 10:05
Winamax (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 16.60%EV -18.30%E -3.45%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.12%EV -10.87%E -7.55%K -24.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-05 09:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-07-05 10:25
Kalshi7.14I 14.01%NM 13.88%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.78%0.9%2026-07-05 10:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-07-05 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-07-05 10:25
Matchbook7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-07-05 10:25
Smarkets7.00I 14.29%NM 13.98%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%2.2%2026-07-05 10:25