Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.90
assuming max odds 2.40
assuming max odds 3.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gwangju FC (Local): 28.34%; Pohang Steelers (Visit): 41.25%; Draw: 30.41%. For Gwangju FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.53%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV +10.53%E +2.70%K +3.63%G +0.382% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -17.51%E -8.75%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -2.67%E -0.836%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 11:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV +6.28%E +1.67%K +2.28%G +0.143% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23%EV -11.74%E -5.48%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV +6.28%E +1.67%K +2.28%G +0.143% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23%EV -11.74%E -5.48%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV +0.609%E +0.172%K +0.239%G +0.001% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -13.39%E -6.37%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.03%EV -0.241%E -0.069%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -8.02%E -3.60%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.30%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 10:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.808%E -0.231%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -9.26%E -4.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 10:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.26%E -4.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -11.32%E -5.27%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -12.41%E -4.31%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 10:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.64%EV -15.86%E -7.77%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-15 10:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.64%EV -15.86%E -7.77%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-15 10:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.64%EV -15.86%E -7.77%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.64%EV -15.86%E -7.77%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.64%EV -15.86%E -7.77%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.64%EV -15.86%E -7.77%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-15 10:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.64%EV -15.86%E -7.77%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.64%EV -15.86%E -7.77%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-15 10:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.64%EV -15.86%E -7.77%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-15 10:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.64%EV -15.86%E -7.77%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.88%EV -16.68%E -8.26%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.79%EV -4.78%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.31%EV -1.01%E -0.422%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.91%EV -4.80%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 10:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.94%EV -5.06%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.10%EV -18.75%E -9.52%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.96%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -3.07%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.20%E -3.20%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.12%EV -6.37%E -2.81%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 10:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -11.32%E -5.27%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.41%E -4.31%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -13.39%E -6.37%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 44.08%EV -19.98%E -10.30%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.01%EV -13.32%E -4.67%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-08-15 10:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -5.14%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.19%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 10:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.20%E -3.20%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 10:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.14%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 10:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.14%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 10:16 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.20%E -3.20%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 10:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.14%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 10:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.14%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 10:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.14%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 10:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.20%E -3.20%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 10:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.75%EV -8.44%E -3.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.98%EV -11.19%E -3.83%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 10:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.75%EV -8.44%E -3.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.98%EV -11.19%E -3.83%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.32%E -5.27%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -13.39%E -6.37%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 10:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.12%EV -10.16%E -3.21%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.46%EV -11.32%E -5.27%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.42%EV -10.89%E -3.72%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -10.73%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.26%E -4.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 10:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.20%E -3.20%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 10:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.26%E -4.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 10:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.26%E -4.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 10:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.26%E -4.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 10:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.26%E -4.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.32%E -5.27%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -13.39%E -6.37%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.52%EV -13.32%E -4.67%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 10:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.61% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 10:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.43% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.04% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 10:25 |