Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Gwangju FC v Pohang Steelers

Inicio: 2026-08-15 10:31 UTC

Final: Gwangju FC 1–2 Pohang Steelers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Gwangju FC (Local)

Predicción 28.34%3.53momio equitativo
EV +10.53%
Ventaja +2.70%
Kelly +3.63%
Crecimiento +0.382%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.99%27.88%28.24%29.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.323.303.9032.26%30.15%30.30%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pohang Steelers (Visitante)

Predicción 41.25%2.42momio equitativo
EV -1.01%
Ventaja -0.422%
Kelly -0.723%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.99%41.71%41.30%46.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.942.162.152.4051.55%46.27%46.51%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 30.41%3.29momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -0.836%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.24%30.42%30.46%31.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.852.992.953.2035.09%33.46%33.90%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Gwangju FC (Local): 28.34%; Pohang Steelers (Visitante): 41.25%; Empate: 30.41%. Para Gwangju FC (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.53. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +10.53%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV +10.53%E +2.70%K +3.63%G +0.382%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -17.51%E -8.75%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -2.67%E -0.836%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 11:44
BetOnline.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV +6.28%E +1.67%K +2.28%G +0.143%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23%EV -11.74%E -5.48%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 10:19
LowVig.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV +6.28%E +1.67%K +2.28%G +0.143%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23%EV -11.74%E -5.48%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 10:19
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV +0.609%E +0.172%K +0.239%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -13.39%E -6.37%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 10:15
1xBet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.03%EV -0.241%E -0.069%K -0.096%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -8.02%E -3.60%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.30%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:24
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -0.808%E -0.231%K -0.323%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -9.26%E -4.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 10:14
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.26%E -4.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 10:19
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -11.32%E -5.27%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -12.41%E -4.31%K -6.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 10:14
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.64%EV -15.86%E -7.77%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 10:14
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.64%EV -15.86%E -7.77%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 10:14
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.64%EV -15.86%E -7.77%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 10:15
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.64%EV -15.86%E -7.77%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 10:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.64%EV -15.86%E -7.77%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 10:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.64%EV -15.86%E -7.77%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 10:14
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.64%EV -15.86%E -7.77%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 10:15
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.64%EV -15.86%E -7.77%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 10:14
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.64%EV -15.86%E -7.77%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 10:14
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.64%EV -15.86%E -7.77%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -3.64%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.88%EV -16.68%E -8.26%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 10:15
Pinnacle🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 28.79%EV -4.78%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.31%EV -1.01%E -0.422%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.91%EV -4.80%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 10:14
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 25.94%EV -5.06%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.10%EV -18.75%E -9.52%K -19.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.96%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-15 10:15
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -3.07%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:15
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.20%E -3.20%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:19
Marathon Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.12%EV -6.37%E -2.81%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:24
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -11.32%E -5.27%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.41%E -4.31%K -6.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 10:15
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -13.39%E -6.37%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 10:19
PMU (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.08%EV -19.98%E -10.30%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.01%EV -13.32%E -4.67%K -7.20%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-15 10:14
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -5.14%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.19%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 10:24
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.20%E -3.20%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 10:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.14%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 10:14
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.14%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 10:16
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.20%E -3.20%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 10:24
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.14%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 10:24
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.14%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 10:14
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.14%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 10:24
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.20%E -3.20%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 10:24
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.75%EV -8.44%E -3.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.98%EV -11.19%E -3.83%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 10:25
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.75%EV -8.44%E -3.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.98%EV -11.19%E -3.83%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 10:19
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.32%E -5.27%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 10:15
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -9.31%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -13.39%E -6.37%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 10:24
Betclic (FR)🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 28.12%EV -10.16%E -3.21%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.46%EV -11.32%E -5.27%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.42%EV -10.89%E -3.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 10:19
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -10.73%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.26%E -4.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 10:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.20%E -3.20%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 10:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.26%E -4.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 10:14
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.26%E -4.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 10:14
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.26%E -4.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 10:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.26%E -4.21%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 10:15
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.32%E -5.27%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 10:19
NetBet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -13.39%E -6.37%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.52%EV -13.32%E -4.67%K -7.20%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-15 10:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-08-15 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-08-15 10:25
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%1.0%2026-08-15 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-08-15 10:25
Matchbook◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-08-15 10:19
Smarkets◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.43%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.04%2.3%2026-08-15 10:25