Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gwangju FC v Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gwangju FC (Local)

Prediction 22.72%4.40fair odd
EV +1.35%
Edge +0.303%
Kelly +0.390%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 4.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.92%22.94%22.56%27.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.813.904.4630.30%26.23%25.64%22.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit)

Prediction 48.58%2.06fair odd
EV +1.05%
Edge +0.505%
Kelly +0.973%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.23%48.42%48.70%50.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.921.912.0858.82%52.04%52.36%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.69%3.49fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.718%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.69%28.65%28.74%29.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.983.163.153.4033.56%31.60%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gwangju FC (Local): 22.72%; Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit): 48.58%; Draw: 28.69%. For Gwangju FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.40. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.46, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -23.87%E -7.13%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV +1.05%E +0.505%K +0.973%G +0.010%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.75%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 04:40
LeoVegas🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -23.87%E -7.13%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -0.406%E -0.198%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -8.18%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 04:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -23.87%E -7.13%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -0.406%E -0.198%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -8.18%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 04:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -25.01%E -7.58%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -1.86%E -0.923%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 04:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -25.01%E -7.58%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -1.86%E -0.923%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 04:40
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -25.01%E -7.58%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -1.86%E -0.923%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 04:40
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -25.01%E -7.58%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -1.86%E -0.923%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 04:40
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -25.01%E -7.58%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -1.86%E -0.923%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 04:40
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -25.01%E -7.58%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -1.86%E -0.923%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 04:39
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -25.01%E -7.58%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -1.86%E -0.923%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 04:40
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -25.01%E -7.58%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -1.86%E -0.923%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 04:39
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -25.01%E -7.58%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -1.86%E -0.923%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 04:40
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -25.01%E -7.58%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -1.86%E -0.923%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 04:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -25.01%E -7.58%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -1.86%E -0.923%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 04:40
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.75%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 22:10
Pinnacle🎯4.46I 22.42%NM 21.62%EV +1.35%E +0.303%K +0.390%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.69%EV -5.75%E -2.96%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.69%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 04:50
LowVig.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -0.013%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.51%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.78%EV -4.74%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 21:10
BetOnline.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -0.013%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.51%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.78%EV -4.74%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 21:10
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.44%E -0.718%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 04:49
1xBet🎯4.19I 23.87%NM 22.36%EV -4.79%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.54%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.10%EV -7.61%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 04:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -13.65%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.71%EV -6.72%E -3.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.75%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 22:09
NordicBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.38%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.58%EV -6.72%E -3.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 22:10
Betsson🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.38%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.58%EV -6.72%E -3.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 22:09
DraftKings🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.31%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 04:10
Marathon Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.83%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -7.61%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 04:09
BetMGM🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.18%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 04:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.31%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 04:49
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.18%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 04:29
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.18%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 04:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.05%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 21:00
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.05%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 21:00
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -7.69%E -4.05%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.31%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 04:50
PlayUp🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -7.69%E -4.05%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.18%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 04:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -11.38%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.32%EV -8.67%E -4.61%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.18%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 04:49
Bovada🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.15%E -4.89%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.18%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 04:44
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -18.19%E -5.05%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.24%EV -9.64%E -5.18%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -11.05%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-13 22:09
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -10.12%E -5.47%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -6.75%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 04:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -10.12%E -5.47%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.92%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 04:10
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -10.12%E -5.47%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.92%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 04:10
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -10.12%E -5.47%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.92%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 04:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -10.12%E -5.47%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.92%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 04:09
Unibet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -14.78%E -3.94%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.76%EV -10.61%E -5.77%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -12.49%E -4.09%K -6.09%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-13 22:15
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -0.013%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.18%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 04:10
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.05%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 04:29
Sky Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -13.65%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.05%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-14 04:49
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.50%EV -15.92%E -4.30%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.52%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.98%EV -13.92%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-14 04:35
Betclic (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 23.58%EV -17.06%E -4.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 47.54%EV -12.07%E -6.67%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.88%EV -14.49%E -4.86%K -7.32%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-14 04:33
NetBet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.83%EV -13.65%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.73%EV -13.52%E -7.60%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -12.49%E -4.09%K -6.09%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-14 04:49
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 22.68%EV -15.92%E -4.30%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 49.36%EV -17.41%E -10.24%K -24.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.97%EV -13.92%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-14 04:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%1.0%2026-03-14 03:45
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.4%2026-03-14 04:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.68%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93%1.7%2026-03-14 04:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.68%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93%1.7%2026-03-14 04:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.33%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.81%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%1.9%2026-03-14 04:45
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.19%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.09%2.6%2026-03-14 04:50