L’École des cotes

Gwangju FC v Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 05:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gwangju FC (Local)

Prévision 22.72%4.40cote équitable
EV +1.35%
Avantage +0.303%
Kelly +0.390%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 4.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.92%22.94%22.56%27.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.813.904.4630.30%26.23%25.64%22.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.58%2.06cote équitable
EV +1.05%
Avantage +0.505%
Kelly +0.973%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.23%48.42%48.70%50.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.921.912.0858.82%52.04%52.36%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.69%3.49cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -0.718%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.69%28.65%28.74%29.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.983.163.153.4033.56%31.60%31.75%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -23.87%E -7.13%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV +1.05%E +0.505%K +0.973%G +0.010%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.75%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 04:40
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -23.87%E -7.13%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -0.406%E -0.198%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -8.18%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 04:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -23.87%E -7.13%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -0.406%E -0.198%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -8.18%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 04:40
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -25.01%E -7.58%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -1.86%E -0.923%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 04:40
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -25.01%E -7.58%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -1.86%E -0.923%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 04:40
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -25.01%E -7.58%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -1.86%E -0.923%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 04:40
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -25.01%E -7.58%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -1.86%E -0.923%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 04:40
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -25.01%E -7.58%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -1.86%E -0.923%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 04:40
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -25.01%E -7.58%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -1.86%E -0.923%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 04:39
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -25.01%E -7.58%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -1.86%E -0.923%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 04:40
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -25.01%E -7.58%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -1.86%E -0.923%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 04:39
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -25.01%E -7.58%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -1.86%E -0.923%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 04:40
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -25.01%E -7.58%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -1.86%E -0.923%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 04:40
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -25.01%E -7.58%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -1.86%E -0.923%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 04:40
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.75%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 22:10
Pinnacle4.46I 22.42%NM 21.62%EV +1.35%E +0.303%K +0.390%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.69%EV -5.75%E -2.96%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.69%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 04:50
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -0.013%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.51%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.78%EV -4.74%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 21:10
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -0.013%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.51%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.78%EV -4.74%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 21:10
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.44%E -0.718%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 04:49
1xBet4.19I 23.87%NM 22.36%EV -4.79%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.54%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.10%EV -7.61%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 04:30
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -13.65%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.71%EV -6.72%E -3.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.75%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 22:09
NordicBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.38%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.58%EV -6.72%E -3.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 22:10
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.38%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.58%EV -6.72%E -3.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -9.62%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 22:09
DraftKings4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.31%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 04:10
Marathon Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.83%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -7.61%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 04:09
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.18%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 04:09
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.31%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 04:49
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.18%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 04:29
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.18%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 04:30
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.05%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 21:00
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.05%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 21:00
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -7.69%E -4.05%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.31%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 04:50
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -7.69%E -4.05%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.18%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 04:45
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -11.38%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.32%EV -8.67%E -4.61%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.18%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 04:49
Bovada4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.15%E -4.89%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.18%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 04:44
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -18.19%E -5.05%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.24%EV -9.64%E -5.18%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -11.05%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-13 22:09
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -10.12%E -5.47%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -6.75%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 04:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -10.12%E -5.47%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.92%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 04:10
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -10.12%E -5.47%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.92%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 04:10
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -10.12%E -5.47%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.92%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 04:10
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -10.12%E -5.47%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.92%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 04:09
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -14.78%E -3.94%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.76%EV -10.61%E -5.77%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -12.49%E -4.09%K -6.09%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-13 22:15
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -0.013%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.18%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 04:10
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.05%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 04:29
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -13.65%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.05%E -3.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-14 04:49
Parions Sport (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.50%EV -15.92%E -4.30%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.52%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.98%EV -13.92%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-14 04:35
Betclic (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 23.58%EV -17.06%E -4.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 47.54%EV -12.07%E -6.67%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.88%EV -14.49%E -4.86%K -7.32%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-14 04:33
NetBet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 22.83%EV -13.65%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.73%EV -13.52%E -7.60%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -12.49%E -4.09%K -6.09%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-14 04:49
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 22.68%EV -15.92%E -4.30%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 49.36%EV -17.41%E -10.24%K -24.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.97%EV -13.92%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-14 04:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%1.0%2026-03-14 03:45
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.4%2026-03-14 04:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.68%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93%1.7%2026-03-14 04:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.68%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93%1.7%2026-03-14 04:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.33%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.81%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%1.9%2026-03-14 04:45
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.19%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.09%2.6%2026-03-14 04:50