The School of Odds

Gwangju FC v Jeju United FC

2026-07-26 10:30 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Gwangju FC (Local)

Prediction 21.76%4.60fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -0.965%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.31%21.84%21.70%22.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.754.164.204.4027%24%24%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Jeju United FC (Visit)

Prediction 50.47%1.98fair odd
EV -5.62%
Edge -3.01%
Kelly -6.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.21%50.38%50.61%51.39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.701.811.831.8759%55%55%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.77%3.60fair odd
EV -5.59%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.95%27.78%27.70%28.71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.283.303.4033%30%30%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.25%E -0.965%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -5.62%E -3.01%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 17:30
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -4.25%E -0.965%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -6.63%E -3.58%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 17:30
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.42%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.70%EV -7.14%E -3.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -6.14%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 19:49
1xBet4.28I 23.36%NM 21.89%EV -6.86%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.38%EV -6.13%E -3.29%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.72%EV -6.14%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 19:50
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -6.63%E -3.58%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 17:29
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.79%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 17:30
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.79%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 17:30
LowVig.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%EV -6.63%E -3.58%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 21:50
BetOnline.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%EV -6.63%E -3.58%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 21:50
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -6.63%E -3.58%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 17:30
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -6.63%E -3.58%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 17:30
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.64%E -4.18%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 17:30
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.64%E -4.18%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-21 17:29
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 17:29
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -10.78%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.44%EV -5.62%E -3.01%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 17:30
Unibet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.31%EV -10.78%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.39%EV -14.20%E -8.35%K -20.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.30%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-21 17:30
LeoVegas4.05I 24.69%NM 22.34%EV -11.86%E -2.93%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.25%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-21 17:30
Betclic (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 21.71%EV -11.86%E -2.93%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.82%EV -12.69%E -7.33%K -17.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-21 17:30
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.52%EV -14.04%E -3.55%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.53%EV -11.17%E -6.35%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-21 17:30
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -15.13%E -3.88%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.21%EV -11.68%E -6.67%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -16.69%E -5.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-21 17:26
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.75%EV -18.39%E -4.90%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.18%EV -14.20%E -8.35%K -20.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.08%EV -12.53%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%17.2%2026-07-21 17:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.17%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%13.9%2026-07-21 17:30