Idioma:Español
Gwangju FC v Jeju United FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gwangju FC (Local)
Predicción 26.01%3.84momio equitativo
EV +4.03%
Ventaja +1.01%
Kelly +1.34%
Crecimiento +0.054%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.79%25.85%25.93%26.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.633.604.0030.30%27.52%27.78%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jeju United FC (Visitante)
Predicción 45.22%2.21momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.48%45.31%45.33%47.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.831.992.002.1554.64%50.17%50.00%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.77%3.48momio equitativo
EV -4.77%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -2.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.93%28.85%28.74%30.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.143.133.3133.33%31.80%31.95%30.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Gwangju FC (Local): 26.01%; Jeju United FC (Visitante): 45.22%; Empate: 28.77%. Para Gwangju FC (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.84. 14 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.03%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV +4.03%E +1.01%K +1.34%G +0.054% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -12.72%E -6.59%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.37%E -2.98%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV +2.73%E +0.692%K +0.927%G +0.025% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.89%EV -14.53%E -7.69%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV +1.43%E +0.367%K +0.494%G +0.007% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -14.98%E -7.97%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV +1.43%E +0.367%K +0.494%G +0.007% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -14.98%E -7.97%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV +1.43%E +0.367%K +0.494%G +0.007% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -14.98%E -7.97%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV +1.43%E +0.367%K +0.494%G +0.007% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -14.98%E -7.97%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV +1.43%E +0.367%K +0.494%G +0.007% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -14.98%E -7.97%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV +1.43%E +0.367%K +0.494%G +0.007% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -14.98%E -7.97%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV +1.43%E +0.367%K +0.494%G +0.007% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -14.98%E -7.97%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV +1.43%E +0.367%K +0.494%G +0.007% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -14.98%E -7.97%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV +1.43%E +0.367%K +0.494%G +0.007% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -14.98%E -7.97%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV +1.43%E +0.367%K +0.494%G +0.007% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -14.98%E -7.97%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV +1.43%E +0.367%K +0.494%G +0.007% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.79%EV -15.44%E -8.25%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.30%EV -12.25%E -4.02%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 10:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV +0.133%E +0.034%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.95%EV -17.25%E -9.42%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -13.69%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -2.47%E -0.658%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 10:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.84%EV -2.73%E -0.729%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.96%EV -2.77%E -1.29%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.20%EV -4.77%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.58%EV -3.51%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.76%EV -4.13%E -1.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-26 10:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.58%EV -3.51%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.76%EV -4.13%E -1.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-26 10:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -3.77%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 10:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.88%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.03%EV -5.94%E -2.86%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.09%EV -7.36%E -2.29%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-26 10:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.50%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-26 10:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.50%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 09:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.50%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 09:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 10:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -7.41%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.04%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -6.78%E -2.09%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.50%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-26 10:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.76%EV -6.84%E -3.32%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.37%E -2.98%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-26 10:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -8.65%E -4.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 09:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -8.65%E -4.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 09:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.50%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 10:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.94%E -2.86%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -9.37%E -2.98%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-26 10:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.69%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.69%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.54%EV -13.18%E -6.86%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 10:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.69%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 10:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.66%EV -9.49%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.80%EV -11.82%E -6.06%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.53%EV -9.95%E -3.18%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-26 10:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -6.50%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-26 09:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.37%E -2.98%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 10:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -9.37%E -2.98%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-26 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-26 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-26 09:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-26 09:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.82%E -6.06%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.96%EV -12.87%E -3.84%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.53%EV -13.63%E -7.13%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -12.25%E -4.02%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-07-26 10:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -14.17%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.38%EV -12.27%E -6.33%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -9.37%E -2.98%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-26 09:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-26 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-26 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-26 10:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-26 10:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.85% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.86% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30% | 1.9% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.04% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 2.0% | 2026-07-26 10:20 |