La escuela de los momios

Gwangju FC v Jeju United FC

2026-07-26 10:30 UTC — K League 1

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gwangju FC (Local)

Predicción 23.38%4.28momio equitativo
EV +0.539%
Ventaja +0.125%
Kelly +0.163%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.37%23.29%23.35%24.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.994.004.3027.78%25.08%25.00%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jeju United FC (Visitante)

Predicción 48.29%2.07momio equitativo
EV -4.39%
Ventaja -2.22%
Kelly -4.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.58%48.32%48.29%50.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.881.901.9857.14%53.32%52.63%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.33%3.53momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -0.571%
Kelly -0.804%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.55%28.38%28.35%29.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.213.203.4632.26%31.17%31.25%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV +0.539%E +0.125%K +0.163%G +0.001%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.01%EV -10.67%E -5.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -0.630%E -0.148%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.21%EV -12.60%E -6.96%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-21 23:20
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -1.80%E -0.428%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -7.29%E -3.79%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 04:09
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -1.80%E -0.428%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 22:00
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -1.80%E -0.428%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -13.08%E -7.27%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-21 23:20
Casumo4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -1.80%E -0.428%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -13.08%E -7.27%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-21 23:19
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -1.80%E -0.428%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -13.08%E -7.27%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-21 23:19
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -1.80%E -0.428%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -13.08%E -7.27%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-21 23:19
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -1.80%E -0.428%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -13.08%E -7.27%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-21 23:19
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -1.80%E -0.428%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -13.08%E -7.27%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-21 23:19
Unibet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -1.80%E -0.428%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -13.08%E -7.27%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-21 23:19
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -1.80%E -0.428%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -13.08%E -7.27%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-21 23:20
betPARX4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -1.80%E -0.428%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -13.08%E -7.27%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-21 23:18
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -1.80%E -0.428%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -13.08%E -7.27%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-21 23:20
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -1.80%E -0.428%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.14%EV -13.56%E -7.58%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.49%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-21 23:20
Pinnacle4.15I 24.10%NM 23.28%EV -2.97%E -0.715%K -0.942%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -4.39%E -2.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV -1.98%E -0.571%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 04:10
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.51%EV -2.97%E -0.715%K -0.942%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 16:39
1xBet4.13I 24.21%NM 22.71%EV -3.44%E -0.832%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.86%EV -7.29%E -3.79%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 16:45
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.14%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.25%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 04:10
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -4.14%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.22%EV -15.50%E -8.85%K -20.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-21 23:20
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -6.47%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 04:05
LowVig.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.47%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -6.80%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 16:30
BetOnline.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.47%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -6.80%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 16:30
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.47%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 23:15
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.47%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 02:04
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.47%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 04:05
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -6.47%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 04:05
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.47%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -10.67%E -5.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 04:08
Betr (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -6.47%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -10.67%E -5.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 04:05
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.64%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -9.22%E -4.90%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 04:19
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.81%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-24 06:45
Unibet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -8.81%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -10.67%E -5.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 01:59
Betclic (FR)3.88I 25.77%NM 23.44%EV -9.28%E -2.39%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.13%EV -8.73%E -4.62%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 02:04
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -9.98%E -2.59%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 03:40
NordicBet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -9.98%E -2.59%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.65%EV -7.29%E -3.79%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 02:00
Betsson3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -9.98%E -2.59%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.65%EV -7.29%E -3.79%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 01:59
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 03:29
William Hill3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 14:50
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 14:50
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -11.15%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -11.63%E -6.36%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-26 04:09
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -12.32%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 02:00
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -12.32%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.87%EV -9.22%E -4.90%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 04:10
NetBet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -12.32%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.53%EV -13.08%E -7.27%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-25 23:15
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.49%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-24 06:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.49%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-24 06:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.49%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-24 06:50
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.49%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-24 06:45
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -15.83%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-22 15:39
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -15.83%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.73%EV -11.15%E -6.06%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 02:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-07-26 04:05
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.76%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.79%2.2%2026-07-26 04:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.76%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.79%2.2%2026-07-26 04:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.76%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.79%2.2%2026-07-26 04:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.76%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.79%2.2%2026-07-26 04:20
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 22.76%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.79%2.2%2026-07-26 04:15