Language:English
Gwangju FC v Incheon United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gwangju FC (Local)
Prediction 31.10%3.22fair odd
EV -0.484%
Edge -0.151%
Kelly -0.220%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.51%31.23%31.13%33.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.872.863.2037.74%34.87%34.97%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Incheon United (Visit)
Prediction 35.89%2.79fair odd
EV +0.489%
Edge +0.175%
Kelly +0.272%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.85%35.78%35.92%36.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.562.582.8043.48%39.03%38.68%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.01%3.03fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.886%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.53%32.99%32.95%34.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.782.792.9540.82%36.03%35.84%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gwangju FC (Local): 31.10%; Incheon United (Visit): 35.89%; Draw: 33.01%. For Incheon United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.489%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.55%EV -4.53%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.59%EV +0.489%E +0.175%K +0.272%G +0.001% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.86%EV -5.59%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 07:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -11.37%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.85%EV -2.02%E -0.741%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.73%EV -9.55%E -3.48%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 06:48 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -4.22%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.10%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 06:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -4.22%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.10%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 07:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -11.37%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.10%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -2.61%E -0.886%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 06:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -11.37%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -4.89%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.26%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 07:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -16.03%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -4.89%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.56%EV -4.26%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 06:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -16.03%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -5.61%E -2.13%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -4.93%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 06:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -16.03%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -5.61%E -2.13%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -4.93%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 07:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -0.484%E -0.151%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -7.57%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 07:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 07:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.26%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 06:58 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -17.59%E -6.64%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 07:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -17.59%E -6.64%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 06:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -17.59%E -6.64%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 07:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -17.59%E -6.64%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 07:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -17.59%E -6.64%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 06:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -17.59%E -6.64%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 07:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -17.59%E -6.64%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 07:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -17.59%E -6.64%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 06:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -17.59%E -6.64%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 07:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -17.59%E -6.64%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 06:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -17.59%E -6.64%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -7.57%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 07:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.06%EV -2.97%E -0.952%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.21%EV -7.05%E -2.72%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.73%EV -8.23%E -2.96%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 07:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.43%EV -9.19%E -3.15%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.57%EV -7.41%E -2.87%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.01%EV -8.23%E -2.96%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 06:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.43%EV -9.19%E -3.15%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.57%EV -7.41%E -2.87%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.01%EV -8.23%E -2.96%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 07:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -3.59%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -8.48%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -10.87%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 07:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -3.59%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -8.48%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -10.87%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 06:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -3.59%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -8.48%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -10.87%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 07:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -12.92%E -4.62%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.48%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -7.57%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 07:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -2.35%E -0.748%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.73%EV -8.84%E -3.48%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.56%EV -8.23%E -2.96%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 07:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.69%EV -16.66%E -6.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 34.63%EV -9.20%E -3.64%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.69%EV -11.53%E -4.30%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-07 06:51 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -3.59%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -10.87%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 07:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.22%E -3.35%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 07:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -11.37%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 06:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.87%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 07:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.87%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 07:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.51%E -5.16%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-07 06:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.44%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.87%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-07 06:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.44%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.87%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-07 07:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -10.75%E -3.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.87%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 07:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -10.75%E -3.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.87%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 07:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -12.07%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -14.17%E -5.45%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-07 07:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -11.37%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 36.43%EV -13.51%E -5.60%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.76%EV -11.53%E -4.30%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-07 07:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.61%EV -10.44%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.73%EV -13.87%E -5.78%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%EV -10.87%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-07 06:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -14.48%E -5.26%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -13.87%E -5.78%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -9.22%E -3.35%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-07 07:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -11.37%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.26%EV -13.87%E -5.78%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.21%EV -13.51%E -5.16%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-07 07:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.76%EV -12.92%E -4.62%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.23%EV -17.46%E -7.59%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.01%EV -19.12%E -7.80%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-07 07:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.85% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.59% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.56% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 07:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.78% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.23% | 1.4% | 2026-03-07 07:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.78% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.23% | 1.4% | 2026-03-07 07:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.78% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.23% | 1.4% | 2026-03-07 07:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.72% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.90% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 07:05 |