L’École des cotes

Gwangju FC v Incheon United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 07:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gwangju FC (Local)

Prévision 31.10%3.22cote équitable
EV -0.484%
Avantage -0.151%
Kelly -0.220%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.51%31.23%31.13%33.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.872.863.2037.74%34.87%34.97%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Incheon United (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.89%2.79cote équitable
EV +0.489%
Avantage +0.175%
Kelly +0.272%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.85%35.78%35.92%36.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.562.582.8043.48%39.03%38.68%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 33.01%3.03cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -0.886%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.53%32.99%32.95%34.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.782.792.9540.82%36.03%35.84%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.07I 32.57%NM 31.55%EV -4.53%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.59%EV +0.489%E +0.175%K +0.272%G +0.001%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.86%EV -5.59%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 07:00
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -11.37%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.85%EV -2.02%E -0.741%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.73%EV -9.55%E -3.48%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 06:48
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -4.22%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.10%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 06:59
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -4.22%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.10%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 07:00
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -11.37%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.10%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -2.61%E -0.886%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 06:58
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -11.37%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -4.89%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.26%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 07:05
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -16.03%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -4.89%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.56%EV -4.26%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 06:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -16.03%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -5.61%E -2.13%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -4.93%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 06:59
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -16.03%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -5.61%E -2.13%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -4.93%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 07:00
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -0.484%E -0.151%K -0.220%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -7.57%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 07:04
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 07:00
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.26%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 06:58
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -17.59%E -6.64%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 07:00
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -17.59%E -6.64%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 06:59
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -17.59%E -6.64%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 07:00
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -17.59%E -6.64%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 07:00
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -17.59%E -6.64%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 06:59
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -17.59%E -6.64%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 07:00
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -17.59%E -6.64%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 07:00
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -17.59%E -6.64%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 06:59
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -17.59%E -6.64%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 07:00
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -17.59%E -6.64%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 06:59
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -17.59%E -6.64%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -7.57%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 07:00
1xBet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.06%EV -2.97%E -0.952%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.21%EV -7.05%E -2.72%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.73%EV -8.23%E -2.96%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 07:05
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.43%EV -9.19%E -3.15%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.57%EV -7.41%E -2.87%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.01%EV -8.23%E -2.96%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 06:59
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.43%EV -9.19%E -3.15%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.57%EV -7.41%E -2.87%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.01%EV -8.23%E -2.96%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 07:00
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -3.59%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -8.48%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -10.87%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 07:04
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -3.59%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -8.48%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -10.87%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 06:59
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -3.59%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -8.48%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -10.87%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 07:04
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -12.92%E -4.62%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.48%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -7.57%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 07:05
Marathon Bet3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -2.35%E -0.748%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.73%EV -8.84%E -3.48%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.56%EV -8.23%E -2.96%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 07:05
Betclic (FR)2.68I 37.31%NM 32.69%EV -16.66%E -6.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 34.63%EV -9.20%E -3.64%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 32.69%EV -11.53%E -4.30%K -6.86%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-07 06:51
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -3.59%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -10.87%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 07:04
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.22%E -3.35%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 07:04
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -11.37%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -5.92%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 06:59
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.87%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 07:04
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.87%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 07:04
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.51%E -5.16%K -8.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 06:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.44%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.87%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 06:59
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.44%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.87%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 07:00
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -10.75%E -3.74%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.87%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 07:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -10.75%E -3.74%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.87%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 07:00
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -6.70%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -12.07%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -14.17%E -5.45%K -8.86%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 07:00
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -11.37%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 36.43%EV -13.51%E -5.60%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 32.76%EV -11.53%E -4.30%K -6.86%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 07:05
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.61%EV -10.44%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.73%EV -13.87%E -5.78%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%EV -10.87%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-07 06:59
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -14.48%E -5.26%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -13.87%E -5.78%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -9.22%E -3.35%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-07 07:00
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -11.37%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.26%EV -13.87%E -5.78%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.21%EV -13.51%E -5.16%K -8.34%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-07 07:04
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 29.76%EV -12.92%E -4.62%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.23%EV -17.46%E -7.59%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.01%EV -19.12%E -7.80%K -13.19%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-07 07:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.85%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.59%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.56%0.5%2026-03-07 07:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.78%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.23%1.4%2026-03-07 07:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.78%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.23%1.4%2026-03-07 07:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.78%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.23%1.4%2026-03-07 07:04
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.72%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.90%3.1%2026-03-07 07:05