Language:English
Gwangju FC v Daejeon Citizen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gwangju FC (Local)
Prediction 17.76%5.63fair odd
EV +6.54%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.31%
Growth +0.086%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.30%17.69%17.82%18.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.125.106.0021.74%19.53%19.61%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daejeon Citizen (Visit)
Prediction 56.59%1.77fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -3.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.57%56.64%56.60%59.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.611.621.7267.11%62.03%61.73%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.65%3.90fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -0.803%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.76%25.67%25.58%26.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.533.553.7830.30%28.32%28.17%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gwangju FC (Local): 17.76%; Daejeon Citizen (Visit): 56.59%; Draw: 25.65%. For Gwangju FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.63. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.54%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV +6.54%E +1.09%K +1.31%G +0.086% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -12.28%E -7.93%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.64I 17.73%NM 17.10%EV +0.150%E +0.027%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.39%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.51%EV -3.03%E -0.803%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-02 09:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -2.34%E -0.425%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.13%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -2.34%E -0.425%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.13%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 09:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.34%E -0.425%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -3.80%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -2.34%E -0.425%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 09:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -4.11%E -0.761%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.42%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.31I 18.83%NM 17.91%EV -5.71%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.30%EV -2.66%E -1.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 09:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -5.89%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -5.89%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -5.89%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 10:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -5.89%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -5.89%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 10:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -5.89%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.75%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.78%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -5.49%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.78%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.61%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.78%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 09:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -6.78%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 10:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.66%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 09:57 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -7.66%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.72%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -7.66%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -7.66%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 10:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -7.66%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.53%EV -9.44%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.93%EV -11.15%E -7.10%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -9.44%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -11.72%E -7.51%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.49%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.80%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 09:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 09:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -5.49%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 09:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.75%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -11.50%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 10:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.78%EV -10.59%E -6.70%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.94%EV -11.15%E -7.10%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 09:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -11.15%E -7.10%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-02 09:47 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -11.15%E -7.10%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.72%EV -12.99%E -2.65%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.75%EV -13.42%E -8.77%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-02 09:58 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.32%EV -12.99%E -2.65%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 56.96%EV -15.68%E -10.52%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.72%EV -15.35%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -13.88%E -2.86%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.55%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -13.88%E -2.86%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.55%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -14.77%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -14.77%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 09:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -14.77%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.85%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -15.35%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.82%EV -14.77%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 56.65%EV -14.55%E -9.63%K -28.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.53%EV -14.06%E -4.20%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-02 09:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -15.65%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 09:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.13%EV -15.65%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 55.93%EV -12.85%E -8.34%K -23.80%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 25.94%EV -14.83%E -4.47%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-02 09:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.72%EV -16.54%E -3.52%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.00%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -14.06%E -4.20%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-02 10:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.98%EV -18.32%E -3.98%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.57%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -15.35%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.69% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.69% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.94% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44% | 2.1% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.55% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.76% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.69% | 2.4% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.55% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.03% | 2.4% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.26% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46% | 3.3% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |