L’École des cotes

Gwangju FC v Daejeon Citizen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 10:02 UTC

Score final : Gwangju FC 0–5 Daejeon Citizen

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gwangju FC (Local)

Prévision 17.76%5.63cote équitable
EV +6.54%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +1.31%
Croissance +0.086%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.30%17.69%17.82%18.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.605.125.106.0021.74%19.53%19.61%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Daejeon Citizen (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.59%1.77cote équitable
EV -2.66%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -3.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.57%56.64%56.60%59.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.491.611.621.7267.11%62.03%61.73%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.65%3.90cote équitable
EV -3.03%
Avantage -0.803%
Kelly -1.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.76%25.67%25.58%26.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.533.553.7830.30%28.32%28.17%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV +6.54%E +1.09%K +1.31%G +0.086%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -12.28%E -7.93%K -22.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:00
Pinnacle5.64I 17.73%NM 17.10%EV +0.150%E +0.027%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.39%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.51%EV -3.03%E -0.803%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 09:59
BetOnline.ag5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -2.34%E -0.425%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.13%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 10:00
LowVig.ag5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -2.34%E -0.425%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.13%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 09:59
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.34%E -0.425%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -3.80%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 10:00
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -2.34%E -0.425%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 09:59
PointsBet (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -4.11%E -0.761%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.42%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 10:00
1xBet5.31I 18.83%NM 17.91%EV -5.71%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.30%EV -2.66%E -1.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 09:59
Unibet (NL)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -5.89%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 10:00
Casumo5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -5.89%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 10:00
Unibet (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -5.89%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 10:01
ATG (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -5.89%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 10:00
Svenska Spel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -5.89%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 10:01
Bovada5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -5.89%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.75%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:00
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.78%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -5.49%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 10:00
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.78%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.61%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 10:00
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.78%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 09:59
Fanatics5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -6.78%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 10:01
Marathon Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.66%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 09:57
TABtouch5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -7.66%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.72%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 10:00
LiveScore Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -7.66%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 10:00
Grosvenor5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -7.66%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 10:01
Virgin Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -7.66%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 10:00
LeoVegas5.10I 19.61%NM 17.53%EV -9.44%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.93%EV -11.15%E -7.10%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -9.44%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -11.72%E -7.51%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-02 10:00
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.49%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.80%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 10:00
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:59
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 09:59
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -5.49%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 10:00
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 10:00
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 10:00
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 09:59
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.75%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -11.50%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 10:01
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.78%EV -10.59%E -6.70%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 10:00
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.94%EV -11.15%E -7.10%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 09:59
BetRivers5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -11.15%E -7.10%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-02 09:47
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.21%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -11.15%E -7.10%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-02 10:00
Unibet (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 17.72%EV -12.99%E -2.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.75%EV -13.42%E -8.77%K -25.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-02 09:58
PMU (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 17.32%EV -12.99%E -2.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 56.96%EV -15.68%E -10.52%K -32.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.72%EV -15.35%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-02 10:00
NordicBet4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -13.88%E -2.86%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.55%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 10:00
Betsson4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -13.88%E -2.86%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.55%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -6.37%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 10:00
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -14.77%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -14.77%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 09:59
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -14.77%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.85%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -15.35%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 10:00
NetBet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 17.82%EV -14.77%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 56.65%EV -14.55%E -9.63%K -28.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.53%EV -14.06%E -4.20%K -5.98%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-02 09:59
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -15.65%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 09:59
Betclic (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 18.13%EV -15.65%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 55.93%EV -12.85%E -8.34%K -23.80%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 25.94%EV -14.83%E -4.47%K -6.39%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-02 09:59
Winamax (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.72%EV -16.54%E -3.52%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.00%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -14.06%E -4.20%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-02 10:01
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 18.98%EV -18.32%E -3.98%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.57%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -15.35%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-02 10:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.69%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%1.4%2026-05-02 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.69%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%1.4%2026-05-02 10:00
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.94%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-05-02 10:00
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.55%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.69%2.4%2026-05-02 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.55%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.03%2.4%2026-05-02 10:00
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.26%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%3.3%2026-05-02 10:00