Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gangwon FC v Ulsan Hyundai FC

Kickoff: 2026-05-17 10:00 UTC

Final: Gangwon FC 2–0 Ulsan Hyundai FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gangwon FC (Local)

Prediction 41.71%2.40fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -3.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.79%41.85%41.67%44.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.152.202.3051.02%46.59%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visit)

Prediction 29.55%3.38fair odd
EV +3.41%
Edge +0.974%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.047%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.26%29.45%29.55%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.193.203.5034.48%31.34%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.75%3.48fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -0.665%
Kelly -0.942%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%28.71%28.78%29.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.153.103.4033.33%31.70%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gangwon FC (Local): 41.71%; Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visit): 29.55%; Draw: 28.75%. For Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -13.25%E -6.37%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV +3.41%E +0.974%K +1.36%G +0.047%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:04
LeoVegas🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -14.92%E -7.31%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV +1.93%E +0.560%K +0.789%G +0.015%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -14.92%E -7.31%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV +1.93%E +0.560%K +0.789%G +0.015%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 14:04
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -15.75%E -7.80%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV +0.455%E +0.134%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 14:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -15.75%E -7.80%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV +0.455%E +0.134%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 14:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -15.75%E -7.80%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV +0.455%E +0.134%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 14:04
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -15.75%E -7.80%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV +0.455%E +0.134%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 14:05
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -15.75%E -7.80%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV +0.455%E +0.134%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 14:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -15.75%E -7.80%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV +0.455%E +0.134%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 14:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -15.75%E -7.80%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV +0.455%E +0.134%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 14:04
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -15.75%E -7.80%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV +0.455%E +0.134%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 14:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -15.75%E -7.80%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV +0.455%E +0.134%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 14:04
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -15.75%E -7.80%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV +0.455%E +0.134%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 14:04
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -16.58%E -8.29%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV +0.455%E +0.134%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-10 14:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.89%EV -18.25%E -9.31%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -1.02%E -0.305%K -0.435%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-10 14:04
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.06%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.23%EV -2.20%E -0.666%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.71%EV -3.12%E -0.927%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 08:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -4.91%E -2.15%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -2.50%E -0.757%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 07:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -4.91%E -2.15%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -2.50%E -0.757%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 07:30
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -2.50%E -0.757%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.99%E -3.14%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -4.86%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 08:20
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.67%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.21%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.12%EV -7.44%E -2.31%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:20
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.45%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:36
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.45%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:31
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.45%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:20
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -12.41%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -5.45%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 08:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.93%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 08:15
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -6.93%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 07:50
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.26%E -0.665%K -0.942%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 07:35
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:31
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 06:21
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:30
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:36
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -12.41%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-17 08:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -9.49%E -4.38%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.58%EV -9.29%E -3.03%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.56%EV -8.59%E -2.70%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 08:13
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -7.41%E -3.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -9.89%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:16
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -7.41%E -3.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -9.89%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:16
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -11.36%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.26%E -0.665%K -0.942%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:36
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.36%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 07:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.33%E -4.80%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.36%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 08:16
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.36%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 07:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.36%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 07:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.36%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 07:36
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.36%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 07:36
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -14.50%E -7.07%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -11.36%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-17 08:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -14.32%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 07:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -12.41%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -14.32%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-17 08:16
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -12.41%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -14.32%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-17 07:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.84%EV -14.50%E -7.07%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.57%EV -14.32%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.59%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-17 08:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-05-17 07:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-05-17 07:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-05-17 07:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-05-17 07:50
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29%1.9%2026-05-17 07:50
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-05-17 08:20