La escuela de los momios

Gangwon FC v Ulsan Hyundai FC

Inicio: 2026-05-17 10:00 UTC

Final: Gangwon FC 2–0 Ulsan Hyundai FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gangwon FC (Local)

Predicción 41.71%2.40momio equitativo
EV -4.07%
Ventaja -1.77%
Kelly -3.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.79%41.85%41.67%44.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.962.152.202.3051.02%46.59%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visitante)

Predicción 29.55%3.38momio equitativo
EV +3.41%
Ventaja +0.974%
Kelly +1.36%
Crecimiento +0.047%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.26%29.45%29.55%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.193.203.5034.48%31.34%31.25%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.75%3.48momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -0.665%
Kelly -0.942%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.44%28.71%28.78%29.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.153.103.4033.33%31.70%32.26%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -13.25%E -6.37%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV +3.41%E +0.974%K +1.36%G +0.047%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:04
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -14.92%E -7.31%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV +1.93%E +0.560%K +0.789%G +0.015%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -14.92%E -7.31%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV +1.93%E +0.560%K +0.789%G +0.015%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 14:04
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -15.75%E -7.80%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV +0.455%E +0.134%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 14:04
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -15.75%E -7.80%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV +0.455%E +0.134%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 14:04
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -15.75%E -7.80%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV +0.455%E +0.134%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 14:04
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -15.75%E -7.80%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV +0.455%E +0.134%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 14:05
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -15.75%E -7.80%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV +0.455%E +0.134%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 14:05
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -15.75%E -7.80%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV +0.455%E +0.134%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 14:04
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -15.75%E -7.80%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV +0.455%E +0.134%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 14:04
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -15.75%E -7.80%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV +0.455%E +0.134%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 14:04
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -15.75%E -7.80%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV +0.455%E +0.134%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 14:04
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -15.75%E -7.80%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV +0.455%E +0.134%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 14:04
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -16.58%E -8.29%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV +0.455%E +0.134%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-10 14:04
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.89%EV -18.25%E -9.31%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -1.02%E -0.305%K -0.435%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-10 14:04
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.06%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.23%EV -2.20%E -0.666%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.71%EV -3.12%E -0.927%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 08:00
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -4.91%E -2.15%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -2.50%E -0.757%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 07:30
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -4.91%E -2.15%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -2.50%E -0.757%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 07:30
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -2.50%E -0.757%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:45
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.99%E -3.14%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -4.86%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 08:20
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.67%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.21%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.12%EV -7.44%E -2.31%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:20
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.45%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:36
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.45%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:31
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.45%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -12.41%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -5.45%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 08:00
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.93%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 08:15
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -6.93%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 07:50
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.26%E -0.665%K -0.942%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 07:35
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:31
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 06:21
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:35
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:30
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:36
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -12.41%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -8.41%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-17 08:00
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -9.49%E -4.38%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.58%EV -9.29%E -3.03%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.56%EV -8.59%E -2.70%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 08:13
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -7.41%E -3.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -9.89%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:16
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -7.41%E -3.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -9.89%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:16
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -11.36%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.26%E -0.665%K -0.942%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:36
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.36%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 07:35
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.33%E -4.80%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.36%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 08:16
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.36%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 07:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.36%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 07:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.36%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 07:36
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.36%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 07:36
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -14.50%E -7.07%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -11.36%E -3.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-17 08:15
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.24%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -14.32%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 07:35
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -12.41%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -14.32%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-17 08:16
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -12.41%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -14.32%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-17 07:35
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.84%EV -14.50%E -7.07%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.57%EV -14.32%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.59%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-17 08:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-05-17 07:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-05-17 07:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-05-17 07:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-05-17 07:50
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29%1.9%2026-05-17 07:50
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-05-17 08:20