The School of Odds

Gangwon FC v Sangju Sangmu FC

2026-07-18 10:30 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Gangwon FC (Local)

Prediction 50.53%1.98fair odd
EV -7.52%
Edge -4.11%
Kelly -9.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%50.53%50.53%50.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.741.781.781.8357%56%56%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit)

Prediction 22.36%4.47fair odd
EV -6.08%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.00%22.36%22.36%22.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.004.094.104.2025%24%24%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.10%3.69fair odd
EV -7.84%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -3.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.10%27.10%27.10%27.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.253.313.303.4031%30%30%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.08%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -9.04%E -5.02%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 10:54
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.67%EV -10.05%E -5.65%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 10:50
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.67%EV -10.05%E -5.65%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 10:49
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 50.67%EV -10.05%E -5.65%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 10:49
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.67%EV -10.05%E -5.65%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 10:49
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 50.67%EV -10.05%E -5.65%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 10:49
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.67%EV -10.05%E -5.65%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 10:49
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 50.67%EV -10.05%E -5.65%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 10:49
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.67%EV -10.05%E -5.65%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 10:50
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 50.67%EV -10.05%E -5.65%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 10:49
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.67%EV -10.05%E -5.65%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 10:49
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -10.55%E -5.96%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-11 10:49
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.75%EV -12.07%E -6.94%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -11.91%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-11 10:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.