La escuela de los momios

Gangwon FC v Sangju Sangmu FC

Inicio: 2026-07-18 10:30 UTC

Final: Gangwon FC 2–0 Sangju Sangmu FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gangwon FC (Local)

Predicción 55.86%1.79momio equitativo
EV -5.04%
Ventaja -2.97%
Kelly -7.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.53%55.82%55.77%57.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.651.651.7064.52%60.74%60.61%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sangju Sangmu FC (Visitante)

Predicción 18.43%5.42momio equitativo
EV +4.70%
Ventaja +0.828%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.047%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.74%18.46%18.52%19.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.854.805.6822.22%20.62%20.83%17.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.71%3.89momio equitativo
EV -3.60%
Ventaja -0.959%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.12%25.72%25.71%26.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.553.503.7529.85%28.21%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.93%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.74%EV +4.70%E +0.828%K +1.01%G +0.047%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -7.19%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 10:25
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.09%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 17.11%EV +3.97%E +0.703%K +0.855%G +0.034%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.80%EV -3.85%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-18 10:20
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -8.39%E -5.12%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +1.39%E +0.252%K +0.308%G +0.004%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -3.60%E -0.959%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 10:25
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 56.95%EV -7.28%E -4.38%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.51%EV -0.458%E -0.085%K -0.104%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.88%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 10:25
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.85%EV -9.51%E -5.87%K -15.34%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.21%EV -1.38%E -0.258%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 10:20
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -3.22%E -0.614%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.88%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 10:10
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -7.83%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -3.22%E -0.614%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.65%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 10:15
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.77%EV -9.51%E -5.87%K -15.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -4.14%E -0.797%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 10:25
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -5.04%E -2.97%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.83%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -3.60%E -0.959%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 08:59
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.83%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.88%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 10:05
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.16%EV -7.28%E -4.38%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.83%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -4.88%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 08:59
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.83%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 10:05
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.83%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 09:00
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.83%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 10:05
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.83%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 10:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -7.83%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 10:05
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -7.83%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 10:10
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.83%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.47%EV -8.75%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 10:05
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.83%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.47%EV -8.75%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 10:05
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 56.22%EV -11.19%E -7.03%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -9.67%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 10:10
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.21%EV -13.42%E -8.66%K -24.40%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.78%EV -9.67%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.01%EV -13.88%E -4.14%K -5.91%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-18 10:10
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.16%E -3.67%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -10.60%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-18 10:15
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.47%EV -10.07%E -6.25%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.41%EV -10.60%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.11%EV -12.08%E -3.53%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-18 10:09
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.64%EV -8.39%E -5.12%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -11.52%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 10:05
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.51%E -5.87%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -11.52%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 10:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.51%E -5.87%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -12.44%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-18 09:00
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -5.04%E -2.97%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -13.36%E -2.84%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 09:35
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -7.83%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -13.36%E -2.84%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 09:00
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -15.20%E -3.31%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.69%EV -7.28%E -4.38%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -15.20%E -3.31%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 09:35
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.83%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -15.20%E -3.31%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.83%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -15.20%E -3.31%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 10:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.83%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -15.20%E -3.31%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 10:05
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.83%E -4.75%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -15.20%E -3.31%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 10:05
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.79%EV -8.39%E -5.12%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.20%E -3.31%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 09:30
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.79%EV -8.39%E -5.12%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.20%E -3.31%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 09:35
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 54.79%EV -8.39%E -5.12%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.20%E -3.31%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 09:35
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.79%EV -8.39%E -5.12%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.20%E -3.31%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 09:30
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 54.79%EV -8.39%E -5.12%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.20%E -3.31%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 09:35
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.79%EV -8.39%E -5.12%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.20%E -3.31%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 09:30
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 54.79%EV -8.39%E -5.12%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.20%E -3.31%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 09:35
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.79%EV -8.39%E -5.12%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.20%E -3.31%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 09:30
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 54.79%EV -8.39%E -5.12%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.20%E -3.31%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 09:34
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.79%EV -8.39%E -5.12%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.20%E -3.31%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 09:30
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.51%E -5.87%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -15.20%E -3.31%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-18 09:00
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 54.55%EV -8.39%E -5.12%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.88%EV -17.05%E -3.79%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 09:30
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -9.51%E -5.87%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -17.05%E -3.79%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-18 09:00
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.81%EV -10.07%E -6.25%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.61%EV -17.05%E -3.79%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.58%EV -11.31%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-18 09:30
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.97%EV -10.63%E -6.64%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -17.05%E -3.79%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.49%EV -11.31%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-18 10:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.27%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.55%0.4%2026-07-18 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.27%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.55%0.4%2026-07-18 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.27%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.55%0.4%2026-07-18 10:25
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.27%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.55%0.4%2026-07-18 10:20
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-07-18 10:25
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%2.2%2026-07-18 10:20