Language:English
FC Seoul v Sangju Sangmu FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Seoul (Local)
Prediction 52.27%1.91fair odd
EV -4.88%
Edge -2.68%
Kelly -5.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.91%52.35%52.16%55.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.731.731.8263.29%57.91%57.80%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit)
Prediction 21.80%4.59fair odd
EV +9.44%
Edge +1.88%
Kelly +2.35%
Growth +0.222%
assuming max odds 5.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.25%21.75%21.91%23.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.274.255.0226.32%23.41%23.53%19.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.93%3.86fair odd
EV -0.673%
Edge -0.176%
Kelly -0.238%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.93%25.90%25.93%27.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.473.403.8331.25%28.80%29.41%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Seoul (Local): 52.27%; Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit): 21.80%; Draw: 25.93%. For Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.59. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.44%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.53%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.25%EV +9.44%E +1.88%K +2.35%G +0.222% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.23%EV -0.673%E -0.176%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-02 04:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.72%EV +5.08%E +1.05%K +1.33%G +0.068% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.97%EV -5.08%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 04:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.82%EV -12.19%E -7.26%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.46%E +0.524%K +0.666%G +0.016% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.00%EV -10.10%E -5.87%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV +0.284%E +0.062%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 04:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -1.90%E -0.421%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.75%E -0.733%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 04:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -9.58%E -5.54%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -1.90%E -0.421%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -12.72%E -7.62%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -1.90%E -0.421%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.72%EV -7.49%E -4.23%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.08%E -0.926%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -7.16%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 04:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 54.67%EV -16.90%E -10.63%K -28.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.76%EV -4.08%E -0.926%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-02 04:58 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -9.58%E -5.54%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -5.60%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 04:58 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -12.72%E -7.62%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -5.60%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -6.26%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.34%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -6.26%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.34%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 04:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.26%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.38%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -6.26%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -10.53%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -6.26%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -6.26%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -6.26%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -11.15%E -6.56%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -6.26%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.85%EV -16.38%E -10.23%K -27.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.04%EV -6.26%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.11%EV -14.42%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-02 04:57 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -4.88%E -2.68%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -7.35%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.22%EV -7.49%E -4.23%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -7.35%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -7.93%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 04:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -7.49%E -4.23%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -7.35%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.53%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.74%EV -10.10%E -5.87%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -7.35%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 04:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.20%EV -9.58%E -5.54%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.25%EV -7.35%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -7.49%E -4.23%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.75%E -0.733%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.92%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.92%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.92%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.86%EV -9.58%E -5.54%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -13.12%E -3.92%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.86%EV -9.58%E -5.54%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -13.12%E -3.92%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 04:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.00%EV -10.10%E -5.87%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -13.12%E -3.92%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 04:52 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -11.15%E -6.56%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -11.15%E -6.56%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -11.15%E -6.56%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 04:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -11.15%E -6.56%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 04:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.65%EV -11.67%E -6.91%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.30%EV -11.15%E -6.56%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.17%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -13.12%E -3.92%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.38%EV -12.19%E -7.26%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.42%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 53.91%EV -17.42%E -11.03%K -30.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.28%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.81%EV -14.42%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.62%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.62%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -8.01%E -4.55%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 52.17%EV -14.81%E -9.08%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.26%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -17.01%E -5.32%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.21%EV -10.10%E -5.87%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.88%EV -16.07%E -4.17%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-02 05:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.91%EV -9.58%E -5.54%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.18%EV -17.16%E -4.51%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-02 04:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.04% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.96% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.04% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.96% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.04% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.96% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 04:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 05:01 |