La escuela de los momios

FC Seoul v Sangju Sangmu FC

Inicio: 2026-05-02 05:02 UTC

Final: FC Seoul 2–3 Sangju Sangmu FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Seoul (Local)

Predicción 52.27%1.91momio equitativo
EV -4.88%
Ventaja -2.68%
Kelly -5.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.91%52.35%52.16%55.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.731.731.8263.29%57.91%57.80%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sangju Sangmu FC (Visitante)

Predicción 21.80%4.59momio equitativo
EV +9.44%
Ventaja +1.88%
Kelly +2.35%
Crecimiento +0.222%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.25%21.75%21.91%23.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.274.255.0226.32%23.41%23.53%19.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.93%3.86momio equitativo
EV -0.673%
Ventaja -0.176%
Kelly -0.238%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.93%25.90%25.93%27.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.473.403.8331.25%28.80%29.41%26.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.53%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.25%EV +9.44%E +1.88%K +2.35%G +0.222%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.23%EV -0.673%E -0.176%K -0.238%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-02 04:59
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.72%EV +5.08%E +1.05%K +1.33%G +0.068%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.97%EV -5.08%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 04:58
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 54.82%EV -12.19%E -7.26%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.46%E +0.524%K +0.666%G +0.016%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 05:00
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.00%EV -10.10%E -5.87%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV +0.284%E +0.062%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 04:59
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -1.90%E -0.421%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.75%E -0.733%K -0.999%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 04:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -9.58%E -5.54%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -1.90%E -0.421%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 05:00
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -12.72%E -7.62%K -18.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -1.90%E -0.421%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 05:00
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.72%EV -7.49%E -4.23%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.08%E -0.926%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -7.16%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 04:58
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 54.67%EV -16.90%E -10.63%K -28.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.76%EV -4.08%E -0.926%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-02 04:58
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -9.58%E -5.54%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -5.60%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 04:58
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -12.72%E -7.62%K -18.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -5.60%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 05:01
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -6.26%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.34%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 05:00
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -6.26%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.34%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 04:59
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.26%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 05:00
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 52.38%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -6.26%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -10.53%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 05:01
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -6.26%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 05:01
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -6.26%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 05:01
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -6.26%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 05:01
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -11.15%E -6.56%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -6.26%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 05:00
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 53.85%EV -16.38%E -10.23%K -27.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.04%EV -6.26%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.11%EV -14.42%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-02 04:57
PointsBet (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -4.88%E -2.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -7.35%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 05:01
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.22%EV -7.49%E -4.23%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -7.35%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -7.93%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 04:59
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -7.49%E -4.23%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -7.35%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.53%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 05:00
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.74%EV -10.10%E -5.87%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -7.35%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 04:59
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 52.20%EV -9.58%E -5.54%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.25%EV -7.35%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 05:01
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -7.49%E -4.23%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.75%E -0.733%K -0.999%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 05:00
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 05:00
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 05:01
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 51.92%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 05:00
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 51.92%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 05:00
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 51.92%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 05:00
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.86%EV -9.58%E -5.54%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -13.12%E -3.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 05:00
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 51.86%EV -9.58%E -5.54%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -13.12%E -3.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 04:59
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 52.00%EV -10.10%E -5.87%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -13.12%E -3.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 04:52
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -11.15%E -6.56%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 05:00
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -11.15%E -6.56%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 05:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -11.15%E -6.56%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 04:59
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -11.15%E -6.56%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 04:59
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 52.65%EV -11.67%E -6.91%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 05:00
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 52.30%EV -11.15%E -6.56%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.17%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -13.12%E -3.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 05:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.38%EV -12.19%E -7.26%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.42%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-02 05:01
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.91%EV -17.42%E -11.03%K -30.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.28%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.81%EV -14.42%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-02 05:00
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.62%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 05:00
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.62%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 05:00
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.64%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 05:01
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -8.01%E -4.55%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.23%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 05:00
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 52.17%EV -14.81%E -9.08%K -23.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.26%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -17.01%E -5.32%K -7.73%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-02 05:01
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.21%EV -10.10%E -5.87%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.88%EV -16.07%E -4.17%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-02 05:00
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.91%EV -9.58%E -5.54%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.18%EV -17.16%E -4.51%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -11.82%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-02 04:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.04%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.96%1.4%2026-05-02 05:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.04%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.96%1.4%2026-05-02 05:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.04%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.96%1.4%2026-05-02 05:01
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%3.1%2026-05-02 04:59
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%4.1%2026-05-02 05:01
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 52.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%7.5%2026-05-02 05:01