Language:English
FC Seoul v Pohang Steelers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Seoul (Local)
Prediction 52.35%1.91fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -3.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.90%52.14%52.46%53.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.771.791.8560.61%56.40%55.87%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pohang Steelers (Visit)
Prediction 19.90%5.03fair odd
EV -0.115%
Edge -0.023%
Kelly -0.029%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.24%20.11%19.72%22.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.414.405.0225.64%22.69%22.73%19.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.75%3.60fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.12%27.75%27.82%28.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.283.253.4532.26%30.50%30.77%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Seoul (Local): 52.35%; Pohang Steelers (Visit): 19.90%; Draw: 27.75%. For Pohang Steelers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.02, with an expected value of -0.115%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -3.16%E -1.71%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-19 12:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.88%EV -3.68%E -2.00%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.18%EV -12.05%E -2.73%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-22 03:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.77%EV -4.20%E -2.30%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.24%EV -0.115%E -0.023%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-22 09:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -4.73%E -2.60%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.63%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-22 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -4.73%E -2.60%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -11.46%E -2.57%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 03:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.11%EV -4.73%E -2.60%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-19 12:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -5.63%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-22 09:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.50%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -2.50%E -0.511%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.50%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -2.50%E -0.511%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.63%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-22 09:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 09:54 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -13.84%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-22 09:55 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -20.41%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-19 12:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -20.41%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-19 12:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -20.41%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-19 12:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -20.41%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-19 12:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -20.41%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-19 12:05 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -20.41%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-19 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -20.41%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-19 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -20.41%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-19 12:05 |
| betPARX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -20.41%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-19 12:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -20.41%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-19 12:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.04%EV -6.30%E -3.52%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -20.41%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-19 12:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -6.82%E -3.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.49%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.63%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-22 09:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -6.82%E -3.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.98%EV -6.82%E -3.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -14.44%E -3.36%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-22 09:54 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -7.34%E -4.15%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.49%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -5.63%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 09:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.38%EV -7.34%E -4.15%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.49%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-22 09:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.38%EV -7.34%E -4.15%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.49%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-22 09:15 |
| Bovada | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -7.87%E -4.47%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -5.49%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-22 09:52 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.97%EV -7.87%E -4.47%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -22.40%E -5.74%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-19 12:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -8.39%E -4.79%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -6.48%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.22%EV -8.39%E -4.79%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.65%EV -7.48%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-22 09:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.22%EV -8.39%E -4.79%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.65%EV -7.48%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-22 09:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.22%EV -8.91%E -5.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-22 09:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.65%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.59%EV -7.48%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.77%EV -8.97%E -2.73%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-22 09:18 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.71%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-22 09:15 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.71%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-22 09:15 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.71%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-22 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.71%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-22 09:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -13.84%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-22 09:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.08%EV -9.96%E -5.79%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-22 09:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.20%EV -11.01%E -6.48%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -13.84%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-22 09:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.21%EV -11.53%E -6.82%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-22 09:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.95%EV -12.06%E -7.18%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.78%EV -16.43%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-07-22 09:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.43%EV -13.63%E -8.26%K -20.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.66%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-07-22 09:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.62% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-07-22 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.62% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-07-22 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.62% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-07-22 09:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.39% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.54% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.07% | 1.8% | 2026-07-22 09:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.07% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.05% | 1.9% | 2026-07-22 09:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.96% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 09:54 |