La escuela de los momios

FC Seoul v Pohang Steelers

Inicio: 2026-07-22 10:30 UTC

Final: FC Seoul 3–1 Pohang Steelers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Seoul (Local)

Predicción 52.35%1.91momio equitativo
EV -3.16%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -3.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.90%52.14%52.46%53.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.771.791.8560.61%56.40%55.87%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pohang Steelers (Visitante)

Predicción 19.90%5.03momio equitativo
EV -0.115%
Ventaja -0.023%
Kelly -0.029%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.24%20.11%19.72%22.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.414.405.0225.64%22.69%22.73%19.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.75%3.60momio equitativo
EV -4.25%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.12%27.75%27.82%28.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.283.253.4532.26%30.50%30.77%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -3.16%E -1.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 12:05
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.88%EV -3.68%E -2.00%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.18%EV -12.05%E -2.73%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 03:20
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.77%EV -4.20%E -2.30%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.24%EV -0.115%E -0.023%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-22 09:55
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -4.73%E -2.60%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.63%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-22 09:55
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -4.73%E -2.60%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -11.46%E -2.57%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 03:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.11%EV -4.73%E -2.60%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -18.42%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-19 12:05
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -5.63%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 09:25
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.50%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -2.50%E -0.511%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 09:35
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.50%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -2.50%E -0.511%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 09:35
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.63%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 09:54
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 09:54
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 09:35
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 09:35
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -13.84%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 09:55
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -20.41%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 12:04
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -20.41%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 12:05
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -20.41%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 12:04
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -20.41%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 12:05
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -20.41%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 12:05
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -20.41%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 12:05
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -20.41%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 12:05
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -20.41%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 12:05
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -20.41%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 12:05
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -5.77%E -3.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -20.41%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 12:05
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 50.04%EV -6.30%E -3.52%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -20.41%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-19 12:05
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -6.82%E -3.83%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.49%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.63%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-22 09:20
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -6.82%E -3.83%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 09:35
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.98%EV -6.82%E -3.83%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -14.44%E -3.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 09:54
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -7.34%E -4.15%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.49%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -5.63%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 09:54
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.38%EV -7.34%E -4.15%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.49%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 09:15
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.38%EV -7.34%E -4.15%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.49%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 09:15
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -7.87%E -4.47%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -5.49%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 09:52
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.97%EV -7.87%E -4.47%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -22.40%E -5.74%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-19 12:04
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -8.39%E -4.79%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -6.48%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 09:35
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 52.22%EV -8.39%E -4.79%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.65%EV -7.48%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-22 09:20
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.22%EV -8.39%E -4.79%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.65%EV -7.48%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-22 09:20
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.22%EV -8.91%E -5.12%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-22 09:20
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.65%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.59%EV -7.48%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.77%EV -8.97%E -2.73%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-22 09:18
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-22 09:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.71%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-22 09:15
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.71%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-22 09:15
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 51.71%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-22 09:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.71%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-22 09:15
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -9.44%E -5.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -13.84%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-22 09:35
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 52.08%EV -9.96%E -5.79%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-22 09:54
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.20%EV -11.01%E -6.48%K -15.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -13.84%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -9.80%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-22 09:20
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 53.21%EV -11.53%E -6.82%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-22 09:20
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.95%EV -12.06%E -7.18%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.78%EV -16.43%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.08%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-22 09:20
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.43%EV -13.63%E -8.26%K -20.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.66%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-22 09:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.62%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-07-22 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.62%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-07-22 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.62%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-07-22 09:55
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.39%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.54%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.07%1.8%2026-07-22 09:55
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.07%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.05%1.9%2026-07-22 09:55
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.96%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-07-22 09:54