Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Seoul v Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Seoul (Local)

Prediction 40.29%2.48fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%40.24%40.29%41.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.302.4047.62%43.87%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit)

Prediction 30.16%3.32fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.419%
Kelly -0.604%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.52%30.22%30.14%31.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.972.923.2735.71%33.69%34.25%30.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.55%3.38fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.60%29.54%29.57%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.083.103.2534.48%32.43%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Seoul (Local): 40.29%; Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit): 30.16%; Draw: 29.55%. For Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.27, with an expected value of -1.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 04:50
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 04:50
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.51%EV -3.71%E -1.55%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.61%EV -1.37%E -0.419%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.88%EV -4.26%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 04:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 04:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 04:50
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 04:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.02%E -3.74%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 04:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.03%EV -6.13%E -2.63%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -7.81%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 04:50
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.53%E -2.81%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.63%EV -4.69%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -7.81%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 04:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -6.53%E -2.81%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 04:30
LeoVegas🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -6.53%E -2.81%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 04:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 04:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 04:25
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 02:55
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 04:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 04:50
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:35
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:50
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:30
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 04:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 04:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 04:30
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 04:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 04:30
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 04:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 04:30
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 04:30
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 04:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 04:30
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.25%EV -8.14%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -14.04%E -4.93%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 04:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 04:30
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -8.01%E -2.62%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 04:04
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -8.01%E -2.62%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 04:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.02%E -3.74%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 04:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 04:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 04:05
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 04:05
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 04:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -15.55%E -5.55%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-11 04:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -11.36%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 04:05
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.36%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 02:55
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.36%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 04:39
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.36%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 03:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.88%EV -13.38%E -6.22%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 04:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 40.41%EV -14.59%E -6.88%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.06%EV -14.04%E -4.93%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.54%EV -14.31%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-11 04:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.05%EV -15.39%E -7.33%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.93%E -4.08%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 29.42%EV -13.42%E -4.58%K -6.95%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 04:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.05%EV -15.39%E -7.33%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.73%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -12.83%E -4.35%K -6.58%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 04:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30%1.5%2026-04-11 04:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18%1.9%2026-04-11 04:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18%1.9%2026-04-11 04:25
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.19%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-04-11 04:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.16%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.1%2026-04-11 04:50
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.44%2.7%2026-04-11 04:50