La escuela de los momios

FC Seoul v Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Inicio: 2026-04-11 05:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Seoul (Local)

Predicción 40.29%2.48momio equitativo
EV -3.31%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -2.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.44%40.24%40.29%41.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.282.302.4047.62%43.87%43.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visitante)

Predicción 30.16%3.32momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -0.419%
Kelly -0.604%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.52%30.22%30.14%31.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.972.923.2735.71%33.69%34.25%30.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.55%3.38momio equitativo
EV -3.97%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.60%29.54%29.57%30.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.083.103.2534.48%32.43%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 04:50
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 04:50
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.51%EV -3.71%E -1.55%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.61%EV -1.37%E -0.419%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.88%EV -4.26%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 04:50
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 04:50
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 04:50
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 04:24
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -11.02%E -3.74%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 04:30
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.03%EV -6.13%E -2.63%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -7.81%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 04:50
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.53%E -2.81%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.63%EV -4.69%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -7.81%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 04:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -6.53%E -2.81%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 04:30
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -6.53%E -2.81%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 04:30
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 04:05
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 04:25
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 02:55
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 04:05
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 04:50
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:35
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:50
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:30
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 04:34
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 04:30
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 04:30
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 04:30
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 04:30
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 04:30
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 04:30
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 04:30
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 04:30
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 04:30
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 39.25%EV -8.14%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -14.04%E -4.93%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 04:30
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 04:30
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -8.01%E -2.62%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 04:04
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -8.01%E -2.62%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 04:05
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.02%E -3.74%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 04:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 04:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 04:05
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 04:05
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 04:05
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -15.55%E -5.55%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-11 04:30
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -11.36%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 04:05
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.36%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 02:55
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.36%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 04:39
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.36%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 03:00
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.88%EV -13.38%E -6.22%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 04:05
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 40.41%EV -14.59%E -6.88%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.06%EV -14.04%E -4.93%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.54%EV -14.31%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-11 04:50
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.05%EV -15.39%E -7.33%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.93%E -4.08%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 29.42%EV -13.42%E -4.58%K -6.95%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 04:34
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.05%EV -15.39%E -7.33%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.73%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -12.83%E -4.35%K -6.58%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 04:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30%1.5%2026-04-11 04:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18%1.9%2026-04-11 04:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18%1.9%2026-04-11 04:25
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.19%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-04-11 04:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.16%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.1%2026-04-11 04:50
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.44%2.7%2026-04-11 04:50