Language:English
FC Seoul v Incheon United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Seoul (Local)
Prediction 48.46%2.06fair odd
EV -5.51%
Edge -2.83%
Kelly -5.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.50%48.64%48.50%51.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.881.881.9556.50%53.08%53.19%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Incheon United (Visit)
Prediction 24.36%4.11fair odd
EV +2.30%
Edge +0.548%
Kelly +0.719%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.87%24.20%24.37%25.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.713.654.2028.99%26.93%27.40%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.19%3.68fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -0.747%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.24%27.17%27.14%27.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.283.5832.26%30.10%30.49%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Seoul (Local): 48.46%; Incheon United (Visit): 24.36%; Draw: 27.19%. For Incheon United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -14.23%E -8.04%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV +2.30%E +0.548%K +0.719%G +0.017% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.30%EV -5.51%E -2.83%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.85%EV -1.84%E -0.456%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.85%EV -2.67%E -0.747%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.30%EV -8.42%E -4.45%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -2.57%E -0.642%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -7.93%E -4.17%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -4.52%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.96%E -3.63%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 23.96%EV -4.76%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.24%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.51%E -2.83%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.01%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.51%E -2.83%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.01%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.51%E -2.83%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.01%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.51%E -2.83%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.01%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -5.51%E -2.83%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.22%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 08:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.40%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -6.22%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.93%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -8.90%E -4.73%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -6.22%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.43%EV -5.99%E -3.09%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -7.44%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 08:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.51%E -2.83%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.44%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 08:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.44%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 13:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.44%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 12:42 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.44%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 12:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.44%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -8.66%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-03 07:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.93%E -4.17%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -8.66%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.93%E -4.17%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -8.66%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.88%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 08:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -7.93%E -4.17%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -11.09%E -3.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.50%EV -7.93%E -4.17%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -11.09%E -3.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.77%EV -8.90%E -4.73%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -11.09%E -3.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-29 10:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -7.93%E -4.17%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 11:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.07%EV -9.87%E -5.31%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 10:11 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 10:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 10:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.60%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 12:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.60%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 12:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.60%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 12:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.60%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 12:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -10.36%E -5.60%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.01%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-29 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -12.78%E -7.10%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.07%EV -11.32%E -6.19%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.49%EV -13.01%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-04 14:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -11.81%E -6.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -13.01%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.79%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.96%EV -12.80%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.25%EV -10.83%E -3.30%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -10.36%E -5.60%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -14.75%E -4.21%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-03 08:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.53%EV -11.32%E -6.19%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.85%EV -14.75%E -4.21%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.61%EV -14.36%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-29 10:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.57%EV -12.78%E -7.10%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.82%EV -15.97%E -4.63%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.62%EV -15.72%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-29 10:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.68% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.76% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |