默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Seoul v Incheon United

开赛时间: 2026-09-05 10:00 UTC

最终结果: FC Seoul 1–0 Incheon United

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

49 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Seoul (主队)

预测 48.46%2.06公平赔率
EV -5.51%
优势 -2.83%
Kelly -5.80%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.95

博彩公司预测分布
47.50%48.64%48.50%51.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.771.881.881.9556.50%53.08%53.19%51.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

Incheon United (客队)

预测 24.36%4.11公平赔率
EV +2.30%
优势 +0.548%
Kelly +0.719%
增长率 +0.017%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
21.87%24.20%24.37%25.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.453.713.654.2028.99%26.93%27.40%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.19%3.68公平赔率
EV -2.67%
优势 -0.747%
Kelly -1.04%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.58

博彩公司预测分布
26.24%27.17%27.14%27.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.323.283.5832.26%30.10%30.49%27.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:FC Seoul (主队):48.46%;Incheon United (客队):24.36%;平局:27.19%。 对于“Incheon United (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.11。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.20,对应+2.30%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -14.23%E -8.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV +2.30%E +0.548%K +0.719%G +0.017%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 10:40
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.30%EV -5.51%E -2.83%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.85%EV -1.84%E -0.456%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.85%EV -2.67%E -0.747%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 13:15
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.30%EV -8.42%E -4.45%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -2.57%E -0.642%K -0.857%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 08:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -7.93%E -4.17%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -4.52%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 13:15
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.96%E -3.63%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.96%EV -4.76%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.24%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.51%E -2.83%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.01%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.51%E -2.83%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.01%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:15
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.51%E -2.83%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.01%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 13:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.51%E -2.83%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.01%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:15
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -5.51%E -2.83%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.22%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 08:35
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.40%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -6.22%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.93%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 13:05
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -8.90%E -4.73%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -6.22%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 13:10
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.43%EV -5.99%E -3.09%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -7.44%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 08:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.51%E -2.83%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.44%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 08:40
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.44%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 13:14
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.44%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 12:42
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.44%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 12:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.44%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 12:40
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -8.66%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 07:45
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.93%E -4.17%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -8.66%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 13:15
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.93%E -4.17%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -8.66%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 13:15
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.45%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.88%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 08:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -7.93%E -4.17%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -11.09%E -3.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 13:15
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.50%EV -7.93%E -4.17%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -11.09%E -3.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.77%EV -8.90%E -4.73%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -11.09%E -3.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 10:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -7.93%E -4.17%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 11:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.07%EV -9.87%E -5.31%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 13:15
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 10:11
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 10:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 10:10
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 10:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 10:10
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 10:10
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 12:39
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 12:39
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 12:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 12:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -10.36%E -5.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.01%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 10:10
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -12.78%E -7.10%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-31 22:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.07%EV -11.32%E -6.19%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.49%EV -13.01%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-04 14:18
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -11.81%E -6.49%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -13.01%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-04 13:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.79%EV -9.39%E -5.02%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.96%EV -12.80%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.25%EV -10.83%E -3.30%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 13:15
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -10.36%E -5.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -14.75%E -4.21%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-03 08:35
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.53%EV -11.32%E -6.19%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.85%EV -14.75%E -4.21%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.61%EV -14.36%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-29 10:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.57%EV -12.78%E -7.10%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.82%EV -15.97%E -4.63%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.62%EV -15.72%E -5.07%K -7.49%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-29 10:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Matchbook◎1.97I 50.76%NM 49.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.76%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57%2.2%2026-09-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%2.8%2026-09-04 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%2.8%2026-09-04 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%2.8%2026-09-04 13:30