Language:English
FC Seoul v Daejeon Citizen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Seoul (Local)
Prediction 46.07%2.17fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -3.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.24%46.28%46.15%49.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.941.952.0956.18%51.60%51.28%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daejeon Citizen (Visit)
Prediction 25.60%3.91fair odd
EV +9.30%
Edge +2.18%
Kelly +2.84%
Growth +0.265%
assuming max odds 4.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.25%25.49%25.44%27.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.673.734.2730.77%27.28%26.85%23.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.34%3.53fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.95%28.24%28.41%30.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.973.243.303.4033.67%30.86%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Seoul (Local): 46.07%; Daejeon Citizen (Visit): 25.60%; Draw: 28.34%. For Daejeon Citizen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.22%EV -11.09%E -5.75%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.25%EV +9.30%E +2.18%K +2.84%G +0.265% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.53%EV -5.64%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV +2.39%E +0.598%K +0.797%G +0.019% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -13.86%E -7.41%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 04:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.62%EV -15.70%E -8.58%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 04:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.62%EV -15.70%E -8.58%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 04:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.60%EV -16.16%E -8.88%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -1.45%E -0.377%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 04:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.60%EV -16.16%E -8.88%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -1.45%E -0.377%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 04:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.60%EV -16.16%E -8.88%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -1.45%E -0.377%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 04:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.60%EV -16.16%E -8.88%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -1.45%E -0.377%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 04:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.60%EV -16.16%E -8.88%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -1.45%E -0.377%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 04:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.60%EV -16.16%E -8.88%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -1.45%E -0.377%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 04:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.60%EV -16.16%E -8.88%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -1.45%E -0.377%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 04:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.60%EV -16.16%E -8.88%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -1.45%E -0.377%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 04:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.60%EV -16.16%E -8.88%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -1.45%E -0.377%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 04:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.60%EV -16.16%E -8.88%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -1.45%E -0.377%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 04:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.29%EV -3.72%E -1.78%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.26%EV -1.96%E -0.512%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.45%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 04:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -2.73%E -0.718%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 03:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -2.73%E -0.718%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 03:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.73%E -0.718%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -2.73%E -0.718%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.39%EV -16.62%E -9.18%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -2.73%E -0.718%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-18 04:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -4.01%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.45%EV -18.00%E -10.11%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -4.01%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-18 04:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.29%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 04:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -6.95%E -3.44%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.29%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.85%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -7.85%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.85%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -14.99%E -5.00%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -4.18%E -2.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 04:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 04:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -14.99%E -5.00%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -6.95%E -3.44%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.69%E -3.39%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 04:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -6.95%E -3.44%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.69%E -3.39%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 04:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -12.97%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.97%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 04:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -12.97%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 04:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 45.71%EV -13.86%E -7.41%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.51%EV -14.25%E -4.25%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 28.78%EV -15.84%E -5.33%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.35%EV -12.01%E -6.29%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -15.53%E -4.71%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40%EV -13.57%E -4.45%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-18 04:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -12.01%E -6.29%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.32%EV -16.04%E -4.89%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 28.49%EV -14.14%E -4.67%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-18 04:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.81%E -5.17%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -9.71%E -4.95%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -16.81%E -5.17%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-18 04:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39% | 1.6% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60% | 2.8% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |