L’École des cotes

FC Seoul v Daejeon Citizen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 05:00 UTC

Score final : FC Seoul 0–1 Daejeon Citizen

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Seoul (Local)

Prévision 46.07%2.17cote équitable
EV -3.72%
Avantage -1.78%
Kelly -3.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.24%46.28%46.15%49.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.941.952.0956.18%51.60%51.28%47.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Daejeon Citizen (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.60%3.91cote équitable
EV +9.30%
Avantage +2.18%
Kelly +2.84%
Croissance +0.265%

avec la cote maximale 4.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.25%25.49%25.44%27.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.673.734.2730.77%27.28%26.85%23.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.34%3.53cote équitable
EV -3.66%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.95%28.24%28.41%30.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.973.243.303.4033.67%30.86%30.30%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.22%EV -11.09%E -5.75%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.25%EV +9.30%E +2.18%K +2.84%G +0.265%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.53%EV -5.64%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 04:55
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV +2.39%E +0.598%K +0.797%G +0.019%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 04:55
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 04:55
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -13.86%E -7.41%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 04:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.62%EV -15.70%E -8.58%K -18.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 04:40
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.62%EV -15.70%E -8.58%K -18.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -0.170%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 04:40
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.60%EV -16.16%E -8.88%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -1.45%E -0.377%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 04:40
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 49.60%EV -16.16%E -8.88%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -1.45%E -0.377%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 04:40
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.60%EV -16.16%E -8.88%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -1.45%E -0.377%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 04:40
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.60%EV -16.16%E -8.88%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -1.45%E -0.377%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 04:40
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 49.60%EV -16.16%E -8.88%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -1.45%E -0.377%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 04:40
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.60%EV -16.16%E -8.88%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -1.45%E -0.377%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 04:40
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 49.60%EV -16.16%E -8.88%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -1.45%E -0.377%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 04:40
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.60%EV -16.16%E -8.88%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -1.45%E -0.377%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 04:40
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 49.60%EV -16.16%E -8.88%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -1.45%E -0.377%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 04:40
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.60%EV -16.16%E -8.88%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -1.45%E -0.377%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 04:40
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.29%EV -3.72%E -1.78%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.26%EV -1.96%E -0.512%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.45%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 04:45
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -2.73%E -0.718%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 03:40
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -2.73%E -0.718%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 03:40
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.73%E -0.718%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 04:55
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -2.73%E -0.718%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 04:55
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 49.39%EV -16.62%E -9.18%K -20.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -2.73%E -0.718%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 04:40
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -4.01%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 04:55
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.45%EV -18.00%E -10.11%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -4.01%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 04:40
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.29%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 04:50
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -6.95%E -3.44%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.29%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 04:55
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.85%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 04:55
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -7.85%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 04:55
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.85%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -14.99%E -5.00%K -7.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 04:55
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -4.18%E -2.01%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 04:55
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 04:55
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 04:49
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 04:40
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -14.99%E -5.00%K -7.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 04:55
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 04:55
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 04:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 04:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 04:55
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -6.95%E -3.44%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.69%E -3.39%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 04:50
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -6.95%E -3.44%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.69%E -3.39%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 04:50
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -12.97%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 04:55
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.97%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 04:50
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -12.97%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 04:50
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 45.71%EV -13.86%E -7.41%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.51%EV -14.25%E -4.25%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 28.78%EV -15.84%E -5.33%K -8.04%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-18 04:55
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.35%EV -12.01%E -6.29%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -15.53%E -4.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40%EV -13.57%E -4.45%K -6.62%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-18 04:49
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -12.01%E -6.29%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.32%EV -16.04%E -4.89%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.49%EV -14.14%E -4.67%K -6.97%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-18 04:50
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.81%E -5.17%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 04:55
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -9.71%E -4.95%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -16.81%E -5.17%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 04:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-04-18 04:55
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-04-18 04:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%1.5%2026-04-18 04:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%1.6%2026-04-18 04:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-04-18 04:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%2.8%2026-04-18 04:55