Language:English
Daejeon Citizen v Pohang Steelers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daejeon Citizen (Local)
Prediction 51.72%1.93fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -5.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.45%51.58%51.73%53.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.761.751.8560.61%56.75%57.14%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pohang Steelers (Visit)
Prediction 22.08%4.53fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -0.643%
Kelly -0.832%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.92%22.19%22.08%23.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.074.004.4026.67%24.58%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.20%3.82fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.614%
Kelly -0.839%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.45%26.23%26.19%27.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.403.7331.25%29.23%29.41%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daejeon Citizen (Local): 51.72%; Pohang Steelers (Visit): 22.08%; Draw: 26.20%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.73, with an expected value of -2.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.38%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.13%EV -9.23%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.49%EV -2.29%E -0.614%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -12.77%E -3.23%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -12.77%E -3.23%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.87%E -3.23%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -5.04%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.51%EV -5.87%E -3.23%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -6.14%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 21.94%EV -5.70%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.14%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.14%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -2.83%E -0.643%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 12:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 12:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 12:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -7.94%E -4.46%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -3.93%E -0.904%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 12:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.94%E -4.46%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.04%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -8.46%E -4.78%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -12.24%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 12:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 12:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 15:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 16:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 16:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.87%E -3.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -17.18%E -4.58%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.96%EV -10.01%E -5.75%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.19%EV -10.53%E -6.08%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 16:21 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.52%EV -11.04%E -6.42%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 12:51 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.04%EV -11.56%E -6.76%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.10%EV -12.77%E -3.23%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.86%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -12.08%E -7.10%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -9.62%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 12:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.32%EV -13.11%E -7.80%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -12.24%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-09 12:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -13.11%E -7.80%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-09 12:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.13%EV -13.11%E -7.80%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.03%EV -13.87%E -3.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.84%EV -16.17%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.24%EV -14.66%E -8.89%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-09 12:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.45% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.83% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.70% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.99% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32% | 15.1% | 2026-09-09 14:20 |