Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daejeon Citizen v Pohang Steelers

Início: 2026-09-12 10:00 UTC

Final: Daejeon Citizen 2–2 Pohang Steelers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Previsão 51.72%1.93odd justa
EV -4.32%
Vantagem -2.33%
Kelly -5.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.45%51.58%51.73%53.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.761.751.8560.61%56.75%57.14%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pohang Steelers (Visitante)

Previsão 22.08%4.53odd justa
EV -2.83%
Vantagem -0.643%
Kelly -0.832%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.92%22.19%22.08%23.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.074.004.4026.67%24.58%25.00%22.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.20%3.82odd justa
EV -2.29%
Vantagem -0.614%
Kelly -0.839%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.45%26.23%26.19%27.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.423.403.7331.25%29.23%29.41%26.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Daejeon Citizen (Local): 51.72%; Pohang Steelers (Visitante): 22.08%; Empate: 26.20%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.82. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.73, com valor esperado de -2.29%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.38%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.13%EV -9.23%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.49%EV -2.29%E -0.614%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 12:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -12.77%E -3.23%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -12.77%E -3.23%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:15
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.87%E -3.23%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -5.04%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 15:10
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.51%EV -5.87%E -3.23%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -6.14%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 16:40
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 21.94%EV -5.70%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 17:30
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.14%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 15:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.14%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 15:10
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 16:40
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 14:25
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 11:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -2.83%E -0.643%K -0.832%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 12:45
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 11:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 12:45
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -7.94%E -4.46%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -3.93%E -0.904%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 12:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.94%E -4.46%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.04%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -8.46%E -4.78%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -12.24%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 12:50
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 12:50
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-09 16:39
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-09 16:39
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-09 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-09 16:40
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.87%E -3.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-09 15:10
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -9.49%E -5.42%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -17.18%E -4.58%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.96%EV -10.01%E -5.75%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.19%EV -10.53%E -6.08%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 16:21
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.52%EV -11.04%E -6.42%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 12:51
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.04%EV -11.56%E -6.76%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.10%EV -12.77%E -3.23%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.86%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -12.08%E -7.10%K -17.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -9.62%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 12:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.32%EV -13.11%E -7.80%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -9.45%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -12.24%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-09 12:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -13.11%E -7.80%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -11.66%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-09 12:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.13%EV -13.11%E -7.80%K -19.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.03%EV -13.87%E -3.56%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.84%EV -16.17%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-05 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.24%EV -14.66%E -8.89%K -22.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-09 12:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (2)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 51.45%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%5.1%2026-09-09 17:30
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 51.70%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.99%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%15.1%2026-09-09 14:20