Language:English
Daejeon Citizen v Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daejeon Citizen (Local)
Prediction 41.89%2.39fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.66%41.65%41.95%43.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.212.202.3351.02%45.32%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit)
Prediction 31.55%3.17fair odd
EV -4.73%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.75%31.69%31.54%33.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.812.803.0238.46%35.65%35.71%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.56%3.76fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -0.987%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.78%26.66%26.50%27.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.373.403.6331.75%29.71%29.41%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daejeon Citizen (Local): 41.89%; Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit): 31.55%; Draw: 26.56%. For Daejeon Citizen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.33, with an expected value of -2.39%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -2.39%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -14.82%E -5.49%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -13.68%E -4.21%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-02 07:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.40%E -6.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -15.00%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-02 07:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.40%E -6.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -15.00%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-02 07:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.40%E -6.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -15.00%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-02 07:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.40%E -6.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -15.00%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-02 07:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.40%E -6.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -15.00%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-02 07:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.40%E -6.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -15.00%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-02 07:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.40%E -6.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -15.00%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-02 07:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.40%E -6.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -15.00%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-02 07:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.40%E -6.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -15.00%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-02 07:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.40%E -6.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -15.00%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-02 09:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -4.49%E -1.97%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.44%EV -16.40%E -6.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -15.00%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-02 07:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.50%EV -4.73%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.21%EV -3.58%E -0.987%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 08:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.51%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -12.35%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 07:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.76%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -17.98%E -6.91%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.69%EV -16.33%E -5.18%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-10-02 10:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.09%EV -7.00%E -3.15%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.36%EV -5.99%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.55%EV -6.50%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 10:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.96%EV -7.00%E -3.15%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 04:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.96%EV -7.00%E -3.15%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 04:41 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-02 19:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.31%EV -6.30%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.42%EV -6.50%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-02 10:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-04 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.51%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-04 05:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.14%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-02 10:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.51%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-02 07:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.51%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 11:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.51%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 11:51 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.14%EV -8.26%E -3.77%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.50%EV -7.57%E -2.58%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 07:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -8.68%E -3.98%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.02%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-02 07:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -8.68%E -3.98%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.02%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-02 07:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -8.68%E -3.98%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-05 11:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.93%E -4.62%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 04:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.93%E -4.62%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.14%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-04 05:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.93%E -4.62%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.14%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-05 07:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.93%E -4.62%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -13.25%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-05 06:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.93%E -4.62%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -13.25%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-05 07:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.93%E -4.62%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -13.25%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-05 10:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.93%E -4.62%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -13.25%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-05 10:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -12.03%E -5.73%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -13.25%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-03 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -12.03%E -5.73%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -14.82%E -5.49%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-02 07:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.26%EV -12.03%E -5.73%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -14.82%E -5.49%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.66%EV -13.68%E -4.21%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-10-02 07:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.14%EV -12.87%E -6.19%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -12.35%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-02 16:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.01%EV -14.12%E -6.89%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -14.82%E -5.49%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.10%EV -12.35%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-10-02 07:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 43.18%EV -17.89%E -9.13%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.78%EV -13.25%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.04%EV -13.68%E -4.21%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-10-05 05:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-10-05 12:31 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 41.24% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.53% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.23% | 16.6% | 2026-10-05 08:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 169.5% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 169.5% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 33.13% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.75% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 33.13% | 179.5% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |