The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Daejeon Citizen v Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

2026-10-09 05:00 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Prediction 41.70%2.40fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.66%41.31%41.57%43.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.222.242.3351.28%45.09%44.64%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit)

Prediction 31.51%3.17fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.71%31.82%31.53%33.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.762.703.0438.46%36.24%37.04%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.79%3.73fair odd
EV +1.79%
Edge +0.472%
Kelly +0.640%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.04%26.87%26.90%27.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.333.253.8031.75%30.01%30.77%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Daejeon Citizen (Local): 41.70%; Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit): 31.51%; Draw: 26.79%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.80, producing a positive expected value of +1.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.48%EV -6.59%E -2.94%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.48%EV -7.67%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV +1.79%E +0.472%K +0.640%G +0.011%5.1%2026-10-02 10:29
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.17%E -2.74%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.32%EV -4.20%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.37%EV -3.30%E -0.913%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -8.26%E -3.75%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.31%EV -6.41%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.42%EV -5.71%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 10:44
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.26%E -3.75%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.24%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-02 10:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -10.34%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.24%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-02 07:09
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -10.34%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.24%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-02 11:25
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.34%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-02 10:45
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.26%E -3.75%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-02 07:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.26%E -3.75%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-02 07:10
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.34%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -10.19%E -3.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-02 07:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -12.43%E -5.92%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -14.92%E -5.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-02 07:15
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -9.09%E -4.17%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.19%E -3.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -10.26%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-02 07:10
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -9.09%E -4.17%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.19%E -3.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -10.26%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-02 07:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.01%EV -14.51%E -7.08%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -14.92%E -5.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.10%EV -11.60%E -3.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-02 07:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -2.84%E -1.22%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -14.92%E -5.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.94%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-02 07:09
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.26%EV -12.43%E -5.92%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -14.92%E -5.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.66%EV -12.94%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-02 07:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.31%EV -18.68%E -9.58%K -19.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.71%EV -13.34%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.98%EV -12.94%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000%18.4%2026-10-02 07:10
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.49%E -6.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -14.28%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-02 07:10
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.49%E -6.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -14.28%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-02 07:09
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.49%E -6.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -14.28%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-02 07:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.49%E -6.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -14.28%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-02 07:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.49%E -6.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -14.28%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-02 07:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.49%E -6.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -14.28%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-02 07:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.49%E -6.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -14.28%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-02 07:10
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.49%E -6.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -14.28%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-02 07:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.49%E -6.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -14.28%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-02 07:10
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.49%E -6.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -14.28%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-02 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -4.92%E -2.16%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.44%EV -16.49%E -6.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -14.28%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-02 07:10
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.76%EV -6.17%E -2.74%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -18.07%E -6.95%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.69%EV -15.62%E -4.96%K -7.26%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-02 10:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 43.08%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.21%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.70%9.0%2026-10-02 11:35
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 41.24%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.53%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.23%16.6%2026-10-02 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-02 10:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-02 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-10-02 13:00