Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daejeon Citizen v Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

2026-10-09 05:00 UTC — K League 1

Frente a frente

29 casas de apostas (6 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Previsão 41.70%2.40odd justa
EV -2.84%
Vantagem -1.22%
Kelly -2.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.66%41.31%41.57%43.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.222.242.3351.28%45.09%44.64%42.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visitante)

Previsão 31.51%3.17odd justa
EV -4.20%
Vantagem -1.38%
Kelly -2.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.71%31.82%31.53%33.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.762.703.0438.46%36.24%37.04%32.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.79%3.73odd justa
EV +1.79%
Vantagem +0.472%
Kelly +0.640%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.04%26.87%26.90%27.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.333.253.8031.75%30.01%30.77%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Daejeon Citizen (Local): 41.70%; Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visitante): 31.51%; Empate: 26.79%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.73. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.80, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +1.79%.

Odds das casas de apostas (29 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.48%EV -6.59%E -2.94%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.48%EV -7.67%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV +1.79%E +0.472%K +0.640%G +0.011%5.1%2026-10-02 10:29
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.17%E -2.74%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.32%EV -4.20%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.37%EV -3.30%E -0.913%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -8.26%E -3.75%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.31%EV -6.41%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.42%EV -5.71%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 10:44
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.26%E -3.75%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.24%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-02 10:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -10.34%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.24%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-02 07:09
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -10.34%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.24%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-02 11:25
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.34%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-02 10:45
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.26%E -3.75%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-02 07:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.26%E -3.75%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-02 07:10
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.34%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -10.19%E -3.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-02 07:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -12.43%E -5.92%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -14.92%E -5.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-02 07:15
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -9.09%E -4.17%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.19%E -3.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -10.26%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-02 07:10
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -9.09%E -4.17%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.19%E -3.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -10.26%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-02 07:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.01%EV -14.51%E -7.08%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -14.92%E -5.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.10%EV -11.60%E -3.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-02 07:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -2.84%E -1.22%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -14.92%E -5.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.94%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-02 07:09
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.26%EV -12.43%E -5.92%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -14.92%E -5.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.66%EV -12.94%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-02 07:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.31%EV -18.68%E -9.58%K -19.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.71%EV -13.34%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.98%EV -12.94%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000%18.4%2026-10-02 07:10
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.49%E -6.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -14.28%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-02 07:10
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.49%E -6.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -14.28%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-02 07:09
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.49%E -6.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -14.28%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-02 07:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.49%E -6.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -14.28%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-02 07:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.49%E -6.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -14.28%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-02 07:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.49%E -6.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -14.28%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-02 07:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.49%E -6.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -14.28%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-02 07:10
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.49%E -6.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -14.28%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-02 07:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.49%E -6.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -14.28%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-02 07:10
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -16.49%E -6.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -14.28%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-02 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -4.92%E -2.16%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.44%EV -16.49%E -6.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -14.28%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-02 07:10
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.76%EV -6.17%E -2.74%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -18.07%E -6.95%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.69%EV -15.62%E -4.96%K -7.26%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-02 10:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 43.08%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.21%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.70%9.0%2026-10-02 11:35
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 41.24%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.53%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.23%16.6%2026-10-02 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-02 10:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-02 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-10-02 13:00