Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daejeon Citizen v Gangwon FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-23 10:30 UTC

Final: Daejeon Citizen 3–0 Gangwon FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Prediction 40.74%2.45fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.50%40.58%40.69%42.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.272.302.3847.62%44.06%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gangwon FC (Visit)

Prediction 29.42%3.40fair odd
EV +0.021%
Edge +0.006%
Kelly +0.009%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.27%29.59%29.46%32.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.653.013.003.4037.74%33.28%33.33%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.84%3.35fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -0.929%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.40%29.83%29.85%31.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.063.053.2534.72%32.71%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daejeon Citizen (Local): 40.74%; Gangwon FC (Visit): 29.42%; Draw: 29.84%. For Gangwon FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.399. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.400, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.021%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.72%EV -3.03%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV +0.021%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -6.00%E -1.91%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 10:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.45%E -0.433%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 10:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.45%E -0.433%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 10:10
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -2.92%E -0.885%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.00%E -1.91%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 10:20
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.39%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 10:15
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.39%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 10:20
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.39%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 10:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.73%EV -6.70%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -4.69%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -8.69%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 10:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.51%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 09:55
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 10:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -13.46%E -4.64%K -7.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 10:15
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.66%EV -7.11%E -3.12%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -7.33%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 10:29
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -3.02%E -0.929%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 10:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.51%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 10:10
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 10:10
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -13.46%E -4.64%K -7.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 10:15
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -14.06%E -4.88%K -7.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-23 10:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -14.44%E -6.88%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 10:04
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.88%EV -3.03%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.82%EV -9.39%E -3.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.30%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 10:29
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.72%EV -9.55%E -4.30%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%EV -10.28%E -3.37%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 09:55
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.72%EV -9.55%E -4.30%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%EV -10.28%E -3.37%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 09:55
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -10.37%E -4.71%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -10.28%E -3.37%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 10:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.19%EV -11.59%E -5.34%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.50%EV -10.86%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 10:04
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 10:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -10.37%E -4.71%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.51%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 09:55
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 10:29
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 09:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 09:55
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 09:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 10:00
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.37%E -4.71%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -13.46%E -4.64%K -7.09%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-23 10:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.02%EV -13.63%E -6.43%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.99%EV -13.46%E -4.64%K -7.09%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-23 10:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -13.22%E -4.48%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 10:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -13.22%E -4.48%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 10:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -12.40%E -5.77%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -13.22%E -4.48%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 09:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.70%EV -5.07%E -2.18%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.21%EV -17.63%E -6.30%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-23 10:15
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -19.10%E -6.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -19.10%E -6.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -19.10%E -6.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -19.10%E -6.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:15
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -19.10%E -6.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -19.10%E -6.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -19.10%E -6.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -19.10%E -6.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:15
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -19.10%E -6.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:15
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -19.10%E -6.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:15
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -19.10%E -6.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:15
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -20.57%E -7.62%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-23 10:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 38.50%EV -9.15%E -4.10%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.40%EV -22.04%E -8.32%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.10%EV -11.97%E -4.06%K -6.14%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-23 10:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.98%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01%0.1%2026-08-23 10:00
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65%0.4%2026-08-23 10:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-08-23 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-08-23 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-08-23 10:20