Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daejeon Citizen v Gangwon FC

Início: 2026-08-23 10:30 UTC

Final: Daejeon Citizen 3–0 Gangwon FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Previsão 40.74%2.45odd justa
EV -3.03%
Vantagem -1.27%
Kelly -2.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.50%40.58%40.69%42.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.272.302.3847.62%44.06%43.48%42.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Gangwon FC (Visitante)

Previsão 29.42%3.40odd justa
EV +0.021%
Vantagem +0.006%
Kelly +0.009%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.27%29.59%29.46%32.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.653.013.003.4037.74%33.28%33.33%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.84%3.35odd justa
EV -3.02%
Vantagem -0.929%
Kelly -1.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.40%29.83%29.85%31.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.063.053.2534.72%32.71%32.79%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Daejeon Citizen (Local): 40.74%; Gangwon FC (Visitante): 29.42%; Empate: 29.84%. Para Gangwon FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.399. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.400, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.021%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.72%EV -3.03%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV +0.021%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -6.00%E -1.91%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 10:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.45%E -0.433%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 10:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.45%E -0.433%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 10:10
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -2.92%E -0.885%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.00%E -1.91%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 10:20
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.39%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 10:15
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.39%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 10:20
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.39%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 10:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.73%EV -6.70%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -4.69%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -8.69%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 10:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.51%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 09:55
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 10:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -13.46%E -4.64%K -7.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 10:15
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.66%EV -7.11%E -3.12%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -7.33%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 10:29
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -3.02%E -0.929%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 10:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.51%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 10:10
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 10:10
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -13.46%E -4.64%K -7.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 10:15
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -14.06%E -4.88%K -7.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-23 10:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -14.44%E -6.88%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 10:04
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.88%EV -3.03%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.82%EV -9.39%E -3.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.30%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 10:29
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.72%EV -9.55%E -4.30%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%EV -10.28%E -3.37%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 09:55
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.72%EV -9.55%E -4.30%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%EV -10.28%E -3.37%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 09:55
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -10.37%E -4.71%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -10.28%E -3.37%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 10:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.19%EV -11.59%E -5.34%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.50%EV -10.86%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 10:04
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 10:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -10.37%E -4.71%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.51%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 09:55
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 10:29
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 09:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 09:55
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 09:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 10:00
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.37%E -4.71%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -13.46%E -4.64%K -7.09%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-23 10:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.02%EV -13.63%E -6.43%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.99%EV -13.46%E -4.64%K -7.09%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-23 10:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -13.22%E -4.48%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 10:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -13.22%E -4.48%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 10:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -12.40%E -5.77%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -13.22%E -4.48%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 09:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.70%EV -5.07%E -2.18%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.21%EV -17.63%E -6.30%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-23 10:15
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -19.10%E -6.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -19.10%E -6.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -19.10%E -6.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -19.10%E -6.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:15
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -19.10%E -6.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -19.10%E -6.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -19.10%E -6.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -19.10%E -6.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:15
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -19.10%E -6.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:15
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -19.10%E -6.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:15
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -6.29%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -19.10%E -6.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:15
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -20.57%E -7.62%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-23 10:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 38.50%EV -9.15%E -4.10%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.40%EV -22.04%E -8.32%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.10%EV -11.97%E -4.06%K -6.14%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-23 10:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.98%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01%0.1%2026-08-23 10:00
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65%0.4%2026-08-23 10:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-08-23 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-08-23 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-08-23 10:20