Language:English
Daejeon Citizen v Gangwon FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daejeon Citizen (Local)
Prediction 35.76%2.80fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.80%35.86%35.68%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.512.482.7242.02%39.77%40.32%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gangwon FC (Visit)
Prediction 34.13%2.93fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -0.837%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.21%34.10%34.07%34.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.522.682.702.8639.68%37.30%37.04%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.11%3.32fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.657%
Kelly -0.949%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.95%30.04%30.25%31.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.823.023.003.2535.46%33.12%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daejeon Citizen (Local): 35.76%; Gangwon FC (Visit): 34.13%; Draw: 30.11%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -2.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.60%EV -2.73%E -1.00%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.86%EV -2.39%E -0.837%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.55%EV -4.54%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.44%EV -4.16%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.41%EV -5.81%E -2.10%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 04:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.65%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 04:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 04:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.31%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.67%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 04:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.31%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.67%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 04:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.73%EV -6.67%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.79%EV -5.81%E -2.10%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -7.86%E -2.57%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 04:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -2.14%E -0.657%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 04:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -4.44%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.65%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 04:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.78%EV -6.83%E -2.50%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 04:37 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -11.17%E -3.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 04:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 04:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 04:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -9.56%E -3.61%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 04:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.43%EV -7.74%E -3.00%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.11%EV -8.54%E -3.19%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.47%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 04:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.43%EV -7.74%E -3.00%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.11%EV -8.54%E -3.19%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.47%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 04:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.64%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 04:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.64%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 04:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.65%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 04:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.65%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 03:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.16%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 04:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.65%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 04:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-12 04:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.83%EV -11.31%E -4.56%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -8.16%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.83%EV -11.31%E -4.56%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -8.16%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 04:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 04:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.24%E -3.90%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-12 04:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -10.59%E -4.04%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 04:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 04:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 04:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 04:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 04:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.00%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.59%EV -12.97%E -5.09%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-12 04:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.90%EV -13.10%E -5.39%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-12 04:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.78%EV -14.18%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.31%EV -9.56%E -3.61%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -11.17%E -3.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -14.18%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.82%EV -12.97%E -5.09%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.26%EV -14.18%E -4.98%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-12 04:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.67%EV -14.18%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 33.97%EV -14.00%E -5.55%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.36%EV -15.08%E -5.35%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.20%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.78%EV -12.97%E -5.09%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.02%EV -13.58%E -4.73%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-12 04:36 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 04:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.45% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.75% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 04:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.35% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 04:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.72% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.83% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |