La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Daejeon Citizen v Gangwon FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Daejeon Citizen (Local)
Predicción 35.76%2.80momio equitativo
EV -2.73%
Ventaja -1.00%
Kelly -1.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.80%35.86%35.68%36.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.512.482.7242.02%39.77%40.32%36.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Gangwon FC (Visitante)
Predicción 34.13%2.93momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -0.837%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.21%34.10%34.07%34.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.522.682.702.8639.68%37.30%37.04%34.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.11%3.32momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -0.657%
Kelly -0.949%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.95%30.04%30.25%31.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.823.023.003.2535.46%33.12%33.33%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.60%EV -2.73%E -1.00%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.86%EV -2.39%E -0.837%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.55%EV -4.54%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.44%EV -4.16%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.41%EV -5.81%E -2.10%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 04:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.65%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 04:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 04:50 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.31%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.67%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 04:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.31%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.67%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 04:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.73%EV -6.67%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.79%EV -5.81%E -2.10%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -7.86%E -2.57%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 04:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -2.14%E -0.657%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 04:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -4.44%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.65%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 04:14 |
| Bovada | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.78%EV -6.83%E -2.50%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 04:37 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -11.17%E -3.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 04:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 04:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 04:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -9.56%E -3.61%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 04:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.43%EV -7.74%E -3.00%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.11%EV -8.54%E -3.19%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.47%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 04:30 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.43%EV -7.74%E -3.00%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.11%EV -8.54%E -3.19%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.47%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 04:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.64%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 04:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.64%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 04:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.65%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 04:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.65%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 03:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.16%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 04:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.65%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 04:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-12 04:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.83%EV -11.31%E -4.56%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -8.16%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.83%EV -11.31%E -4.56%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -8.16%E -2.67%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 04:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 04:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.24%E -3.90%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-12 04:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -10.59%E -4.04%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 04:00 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 04:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 04:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 04:10 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 04:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.00%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.59%EV -12.97%E -5.09%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-12 04:29 |
| BetRivers | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.90%EV -13.10%E -5.39%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.66%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-12 04:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.78%EV -14.18%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.31%EV -9.56%E -3.61%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -11.17%E -3.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -14.18%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.82%EV -12.97%E -5.09%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.26%EV -14.18%E -4.98%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-12 04:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.67%EV -14.18%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 33.97%EV -14.00%E -5.55%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.36%EV -15.08%E -5.35%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.20%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.78%EV -12.97%E -5.09%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.02%EV -13.58%E -4.73%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-12 04:36 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 04:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.45% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.75% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 04:50 |
| Kalshi | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.35% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 04:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.72% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.83% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 04:45 |