Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bucheon FC 1995 v Sangju Sangmu FC

2026-09-19 07:30 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bucheon FC 1995 (Local)

Prediction 30.28%3.30fair odd
EV -9.17%
Edge -3.06%
Kelly -4.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.04%30.28%30.28%30.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.942.953.0035.09%34.00%33.90%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit)

Prediction 41.13%2.43fair odd
EV -10.33%
Edge -4.74%
Kelly -8.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.13%41.13%41.13%41.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.152.162.1848.08%46.47%46.30%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.59%3.50fair odd
EV -9.94%
Edge -3.16%
Kelly -4.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.59%28.59%28.59%28.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.093.103.1533.33%32.33%32.26%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bucheon FC 1995 (Local): 30.28%; Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit): 41.13%; Draw: 28.59%. For Bucheon FC 1995 (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.00, with an expected value of -9.17%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.34%EV -10.33%E -4.74%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -9.94%E -3.16%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.17%EV -11.15%E -5.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.17%EV -11.15%E -5.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.17%EV -11.15%E -5.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.17%EV -11.15%E -5.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.17%EV -11.15%E -5.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.17%EV -11.15%E -5.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.17%EV -11.15%E -5.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.17%EV -11.15%E -5.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.17%EV -11.15%E -5.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.17%EV -11.15%E -5.16%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.28%EV -12.80%E -4.44%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.13%EV -12.80%E -6.04%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.59%EV -12.80%E -4.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-12 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.12%EV -13.71%E -4.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.27%EV -14.45%E -6.94%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.61%EV -14.23%E -4.74%K -7.11%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 33.57%1.85I 54.05%NM 34.84%2.04I 49.02%NM 31.59%55.2%2026-09-12 17:51