Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bucheon FC 1995 v Sangju Sangmu FC

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 07:30 UTC

Final: Bucheon FC 1995 0–2 Sangju Sangmu FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bucheon FC 1995 (Local)

Prediction 30.56%3.27fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -0.790%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.86%30.61%30.64%31.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.972.953.1935.71%33.69%33.90%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit)

Prediction 41.33%2.42fair odd
EV -0.806%
Edge -0.336%
Kelly -0.575%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.64%41.28%41.33%42.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.212.202.4047.62%45.25%45.45%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.11%3.56fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.461%
Kelly -0.645%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.87%28.11%28.03%29.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.183.203.5033.90%31.44%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bucheon FC 1995 (Local): 30.56%; Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit): 41.33%; Draw: 28.11%. For Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -0.806%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.21%EV -2.52%E -0.790%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.36%EV -3.70%E -1.59%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.43%EV -4.70%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -3.74%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.38%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 07:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -3.74%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.38%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 07:35
1xBet🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.08%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.58%EV -7.01%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 15:09
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.27%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 07:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.27%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -7.83%E -3.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 15:10
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.27%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 07:55
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.08%EV -7.42%E -3.31%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:21
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.01%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -1.61%E -0.461%K -0.645%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 07:30
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -0.806%E -0.336%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -11.45%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.01%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 07:30
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -5.77%E -2.53%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 09:49
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.01%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 07:35
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.01%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 07:05
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 08:34
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 07:30
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.01%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 08:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.01%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 08:46
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-14 11:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -2.87%E -1.22%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:15
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.88%EV -8.25%E -3.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 07:46
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.88%EV -8.25%E -3.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 07:46
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -9.90%E -4.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 11:50
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -9.90%E -4.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -9.90%E -4.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -9.90%E -4.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 11:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -9.90%E -4.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -9.90%E -4.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 11:50
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -9.90%E -4.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -9.90%E -4.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 11:50
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -9.90%E -4.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -9.90%E -4.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 11:50
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -9.90%E -4.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-17 07:31
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.38%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 13:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.38%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 10:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.38%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-17 07:00
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -11.38%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -11.45%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 05:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.38%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 04:35
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.38%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 04:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.38%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 04:35
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.38%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 04:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -11.38%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -12.38%E -5.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-16 10:43
Betclic (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.50%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.43%EV -12.38%E -5.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.06%EV -12.01%E -3.84%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-13 07:45
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.30%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-14 07:10
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.25%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 40.71%EV -11.55%E -5.40%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.04%EV -15.67%E -5.22%K -7.83%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-14 11:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -12.91%E -4.53%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-17 07:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.09%EV -12.91%E -4.53%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.07%EV -17.07%E -5.79%K -8.76%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-14 11:50
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.44%E -5.16%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -15.67%E -5.22%K -7.83%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 13:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.0%2026-09-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.0%2026-09-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.0%2026-09-18 14:40
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.0%2026-09-18 14:40
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 30.83%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.88%4.0%2026-09-18 15:10
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 30.45%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.34%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%4.3%2026-09-18 15:10