Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Bucheon FC 1995 v Sangju Sangmu FC

Inicio: 2026-09-19 07:30 UTC

Final: Bucheon FC 1995 0–2 Sangju Sangmu FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Bucheon FC 1995 (Local)

Predicción 30.56%3.27momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -0.790%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.86%30.61%30.64%31.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.802.972.953.1935.71%33.69%33.90%31.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sangju Sangmu FC (Visitante)

Predicción 41.33%2.42momio equitativo
EV -0.806%
Ventaja -0.336%
Kelly -0.575%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.64%41.28%41.33%42.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.212.202.4047.62%45.25%45.45%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 28.11%3.56momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.461%
Kelly -0.645%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.87%28.11%28.03%29.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.183.203.5033.90%31.44%31.25%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Bucheon FC 1995 (Local): 30.56%; Sangju Sangmu FC (Visitante): 41.33%; Empate: 28.11%. Para Sangju Sangmu FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.42. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.40, con un valor esperado de -0.806%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.21%EV -2.52%E -0.790%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.36%EV -3.70%E -1.59%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.43%EV -4.70%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -3.74%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.38%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 07:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -3.74%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.38%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 07:35
1xBet🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.08%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.58%EV -7.01%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 15:09
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.27%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 07:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -5.27%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -7.83%E -3.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 15:10
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.27%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 07:55
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.08%EV -7.42%E -3.31%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:21
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.01%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -1.61%E -0.461%K -0.645%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 07:30
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -0.806%E -0.336%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -11.45%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.01%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 07:30
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -5.77%E -2.53%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 09:49
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.01%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 07:35
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.01%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 07:05
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 08:34
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 07:30
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.01%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 08:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.01%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 08:46
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-14 11:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -2.87%E -1.22%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:15
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.88%EV -8.25%E -3.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 07:46
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.88%EV -8.25%E -3.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 07:46
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -9.90%E -4.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 11:50
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -9.90%E -4.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -9.90%E -4.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -9.90%E -4.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 11:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -9.90%E -4.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -9.90%E -4.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 11:50
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -9.90%E -4.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -9.90%E -4.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 11:50
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -9.90%E -4.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -9.90%E -4.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 11:50
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -9.90%E -4.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-17 07:31
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.38%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 13:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.38%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 10:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.38%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-17 07:00
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -11.38%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -11.45%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 05:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.38%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 04:35
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.38%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 04:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.38%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 04:35
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.38%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 04:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -11.38%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -12.38%E -5.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-16 10:43
Betclic (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.50%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.43%EV -12.38%E -5.84%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.06%EV -12.01%E -3.84%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-13 07:45
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.30%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-14 07:10
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.25%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 40.71%EV -11.55%E -5.40%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.04%EV -15.67%E -5.22%K -7.83%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-14 11:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -12.91%E -4.53%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-17 07:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.09%EV -12.91%E -4.53%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.07%EV -17.07%E -5.79%K -8.76%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-14 11:50
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.44%E -5.16%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -15.67%E -5.22%K -7.83%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 13:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.0%2026-09-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.0%2026-09-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.0%2026-09-18 14:40
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.0%2026-09-18 14:40
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 30.83%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.88%4.0%2026-09-18 15:10
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 30.45%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.34%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%4.3%2026-09-18 15:10