Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bucheon FC 1995 v Jeju United FC

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 07:30 UTC

Final: Bucheon FC 1995 2–2 Jeju United FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bucheon FC 1995 (Local)

Prediction 34.06%2.94fair odd
EV +0.468%
Edge +0.159%
Kelly +0.240%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.23%33.95%34.01%35.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.762.752.9540.00%36.23%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jeju United FC (Visit)

Prediction 37.39%2.67fair odd
EV -3.90%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.71%37.41%37.40%40.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.362.402.5747.62%42.37%41.67%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.55%3.50fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.435%
Kelly -0.613%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.13%28.65%28.59%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.163.153.4534.48%31.67%31.75%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bucheon FC 1995 (Local): 34.06%; Jeju United FC (Visit): 37.39%; Draw: 28.55%. For Bucheon FC 1995 (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.468%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV +0.468%E +0.159%K +0.240%G +0.001%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.40%EV -16.61%E -7.45%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV +0.468%E +0.159%K +0.240%G +0.001%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -17.74%E -8.06%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV +0.468%E +0.159%K +0.240%G +0.001%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -17.74%E -8.06%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-05 23:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV +0.468%E +0.159%K +0.240%G +0.001%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -17.74%E -8.06%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV +0.468%E +0.159%K +0.240%G +0.001%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -17.74%E -8.06%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV +0.468%E +0.159%K +0.240%G +0.001%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -17.74%E -8.06%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV +0.468%E +0.159%K +0.240%G +0.001%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -17.74%E -8.06%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV +0.468%E +0.159%K +0.240%G +0.001%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -17.74%E -8.06%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV +0.468%E +0.159%K +0.240%G +0.001%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -17.74%E -8.06%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV +0.468%E +0.159%K +0.240%G +0.001%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -17.74%E -8.06%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV +0.468%E +0.159%K +0.240%G +0.001%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -17.74%E -8.06%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -1.24%E -0.426%K -0.650%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -17.20%E -5.93%K -9.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -1.24%E -0.426%K -0.650%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.54%EV -18.48%E -8.48%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.47%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 40.58%EV -19.98%E -9.34%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.17%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.46%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.62%EV -21.47%E -10.23%K -19.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.92%EV -15.78%E -5.35%K -8.09%G +0.000%17.2%2026-09-05 23:04
Pinnacle🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.40%EV -5.66%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.07%EV -3.90%E -1.52%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.53%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 12:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -6.00%E -2.18%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -5.77%E -2.29%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -6.00%E -2.18%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -5.77%E -2.29%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 13:35
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.93%E -0.862%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 12:25
1xBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.05%EV -5.77%E -2.29%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.00%EV -8.07%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.05%EV -5.77%E -2.29%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.00%EV -8.07%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 12:20
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 14:15
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 12:36
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 12:35
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 16:00
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.63%EV -7.37%E -2.71%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.33%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 12:20
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.63%EV -7.37%E -2.71%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.33%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 12:20
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -1.50%E -0.435%K -0.613%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 12:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -2.93%E -0.862%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 14:15
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 13:55
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 12:45
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 12:36
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -15.87%E -7.05%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-09 12:20
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.77%E -4.11%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 12:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.56%EV -10.77%E -4.11%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.90%EV -13.25%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.55%EV -12.07%E -3.92%K -5.80%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-09 12:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 12:20
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -11.00%E -4.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-09 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 13:54
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 13:55
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 13:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.80%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-09 12:31
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -13.16%E -5.16%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.49%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-09 12:20
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -14.86%E -5.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -11.00%E -4.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-09 12:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-09-09 17:35
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 33.93%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.15%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.92%16.0%2026-09-09 14:15