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Bucheon FC 1995 v Jeju United FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bucheon FC 1995 (Local)
Predicción 34.06%2.94momio equitativo
EV +0.468%
Ventaja +0.159%
Kelly +0.240%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.23%33.95%34.01%35.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.762.752.9540.00%36.23%36.36%33.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jeju United FC (Visitante)
Predicción 37.39%2.67momio equitativo
EV -3.90%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -2.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.71%37.41%37.40%40.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.362.402.5747.62%42.37%41.67%38.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.55%3.50momio equitativo
EV -1.50%
Ventaja -0.435%
Kelly -0.613%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.13%28.65%28.59%31.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.163.153.4534.48%31.67%31.75%28.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Bucheon FC 1995 (Local): 34.06%; Jeju United FC (Visitante): 37.39%; Empate: 28.55%. Para Bucheon FC 1995 (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.94. 11 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.95, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.468%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV +0.468%E +0.159%K +0.240%G +0.001% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.40%EV -16.61%E -7.45%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV +0.468%E +0.159%K +0.240%G +0.001% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -17.74%E -8.06%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV +0.468%E +0.159%K +0.240%G +0.001% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -17.74%E -8.06%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV +0.468%E +0.159%K +0.240%G +0.001% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -17.74%E -8.06%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV +0.468%E +0.159%K +0.240%G +0.001% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -17.74%E -8.06%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV +0.468%E +0.159%K +0.240%G +0.001% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -17.74%E -8.06%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV +0.468%E +0.159%K +0.240%G +0.001% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -17.74%E -8.06%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV +0.468%E +0.159%K +0.240%G +0.001% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -17.74%E -8.06%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV +0.468%E +0.159%K +0.240%G +0.001% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -17.74%E -8.06%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV +0.468%E +0.159%K +0.240%G +0.001% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -17.74%E -8.06%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV +0.468%E +0.159%K +0.240%G +0.001% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -17.74%E -8.06%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -1.24%E -0.426%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -17.20%E -5.93%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 16:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -1.24%E -0.426%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.54%EV -18.48%E -8.48%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.47%EV -2.94%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 40.58%EV -19.98%E -9.34%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.46%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.62%EV -21.47%E -10.23%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.92%EV -15.78%E -5.35%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.40%EV -5.66%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.07%EV -3.90%E -1.52%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.53%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -6.00%E -2.18%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -5.77%E -2.29%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -6.00%E -2.18%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -5.77%E -2.29%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.93%E -0.862%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.05%EV -5.77%E -2.29%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.00%EV -8.07%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.05%EV -5.77%E -2.29%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.00%EV -8.07%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 12:36 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.63%EV -7.37%E -2.71%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.33%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.63%EV -7.37%E -2.71%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.33%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -1.50%E -0.435%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -2.93%E -0.862%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 14:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 12:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 12:36 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -15.87%E -7.05%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.77%E -4.11%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.56%EV -10.77%E -4.11%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.90%EV -13.25%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.55%EV -12.07%E -3.92%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-09 12:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -11.00%E -4.62%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 13:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 13:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.80%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-09 12:31 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -13.16%E -5.16%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.49%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -14.86%E -5.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -11.00%E -4.62%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (2)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 33.93% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.15% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 28.92% | 16.0% | 2026-09-09 14:15 |