Language:English
Yokohama F Marinos v Kyoto Purple Sanga
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yokohama F Marinos (Local)
Prediction 47.04%2.13fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.18%47.10%47.00%49.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.982.002.0854.64%50.63%50.13%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visit)
Prediction 26.68%3.75fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.293%
Kelly +0.397%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 3.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.10%26.72%26.72%28.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.403.7931.25%29.26%29.41%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.29%3.80fair odd
EV +0.413%
Edge +0.108%
Kelly +0.146%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.83%26.18%26.28%27.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.453.403.8230.30%28.96%29.41%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama F Marinos (Local): 47.04%; Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visit): 26.68%; Draw: 26.29%. For Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.04%EV -6.87%E -3.47%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV +1.11%E +0.293%K +0.397%G +0.004% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.54%EV -6.40%E -3.22%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.18%EV -1.56%E -0.423%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.29%EV +0.413%E +0.108%K +0.146%G +0.001% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 09:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -12.98%E -7.02%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -2.74%E -0.741%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -4.49%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -5.90%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.36%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -4.06%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.87%E -3.47%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -9.69%E -5.05%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -10.63%E -5.60%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.81%EV -5.83%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.25%EV -8.79%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:53 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -13.92%E -7.61%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -3.58%E -1.74%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -3.58%E -1.74%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -10.63%E -5.60%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -2.16%E -1.04%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.58%E -1.74%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 09:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 09:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.16%E -5.32%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.16%E -5.32%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.09%EV -4.52%E -2.22%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.63%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.63%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 09:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.63%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 09:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.63%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 09:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -11.57%E -6.16%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -10.63%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.16%E -5.32%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -13.30%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.30%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.30%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.30%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.30%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -14.63%E -4.57%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.63%E -4.57%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.39% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.39% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.30% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.02% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68% | 2.5% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |