Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Yokohama F Marinos v Kyoto Purple Sanga

Início: 2026-09-02 10:03 UTC

Final: Yokohama F Marinos 1–1 Kyoto Purple Sanga

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Yokohama F Marinos (Local)

Previsão 47.04%2.13odd justa
EV -2.16%
Vantagem -1.04%
Kelly -2.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.18%47.10%47.00%49.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.982.002.0854.64%50.63%50.13%48.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visitante)

Previsão 26.68%3.75odd justa
EV +1.11%
Vantagem +0.293%
Kelly +0.397%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.10%26.72%26.72%28.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.423.403.7931.25%29.26%29.41%26.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.29%3.80odd justa
EV +0.413%
Vantagem +0.108%
Kelly +0.146%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.83%26.18%26.28%27.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.453.403.8230.30%28.96%29.41%26.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Yokohama F Marinos (Local): 47.04%; Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visitante): 26.68%; Empate: 26.29%. Para Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.75. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.79, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.11%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.04%EV -6.87%E -3.47%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV +1.11%E +0.293%K +0.397%G +0.004%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 09:55
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.54%EV -6.40%E -3.22%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.18%EV -1.56%E -0.423%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.29%EV +0.413%E +0.108%K +0.146%G +0.001%3.5%2026-09-02 09:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 09:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -12.98%E -7.02%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -2.74%E -0.741%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -4.49%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -5.90%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 09:55
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.36%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -4.06%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 09:55
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.87%E -3.47%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 09:50
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 09:55
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -9.69%E -5.05%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 09:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -10.63%E -5.60%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.81%EV -5.83%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.25%EV -8.79%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 09:53
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -13.92%E -7.61%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:55
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -3.58%E -1.74%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -3.58%E -1.74%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -10.63%E -5.60%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 09:55
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -2.16%E -1.04%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 09:45
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.58%E -1.74%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 09:48
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:44
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 09:39
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 09:30
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:05
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:05
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:05
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:05
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:10
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 09:55
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 09:40
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 09:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 09:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 09:40
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.16%E -5.32%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 09:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.16%E -5.32%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 09:55
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.09%EV -4.52%E -2.22%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.63%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 09:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.63%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 09:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.63%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 09:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.63%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 09:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -11.57%E -6.16%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -10.63%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 09:55
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.16%E -5.32%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-02 09:55
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -13.30%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.30%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 09:40
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.30%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 09:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.30%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 09:40
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.30%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 09:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -14.63%E -4.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 09:45
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.63%E -4.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-02 09:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-09-02 09:55
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-09-02 09:55
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-09-02 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-09-02 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-09-02 09:55
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.30%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.02%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68%2.5%2026-09-02 09:55