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Yokohama F Marinos v Kashiwa Reysol
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yokohama F Marinos (Local)
Prediction 29.36%3.41fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -0.757%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.66%29.39%29.32%30.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.123.103.3234.48%32.03%32.26%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kashiwa Reysol (Visit)
Prediction 42.04%2.38fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%42.01%42.07%42.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.182.202.2947.62%45.85%45.56%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.60%3.50fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -0.990%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.78%28.60%28.61%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.193.203.3832.26%31.32%31.25%29.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama F Marinos (Local): 29.36%; Kashiwa Reysol (Visit): 42.04%; Draw: 28.60%. For Yokohama F Marinos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.32, with an expected value of -2.51%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -2.51%E -0.757%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.24%EV -3.73%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.62%EV -3.35%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-16 07:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.66%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -7.93%E -3.62%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.66%EV -6.78%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 07:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 07:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 07:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 06:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.49%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.49%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 07:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 07:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 07:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 07:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 07:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.49%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 07:33 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.49%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 07:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 06:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 06:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 06:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 06:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -11.71%E -5.58%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.49%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 07:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -10.44%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -14.84%E -5.12%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -11.71%E -5.58%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -9.92%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-16 07:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.