La scuola delle quote

Yokohama F Marinos v Kashiwa Reysol

Inizio: 2026-05-16 08:00 UTC

Finale: Yokohama F Marinos 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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22 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Yokohama F Marinos (Casa)

Previsione 29.36%3.41quota equa
EV -2.51%
Vantaggio -0.757%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.66%29.39%29.32%30.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.123.103.3234.48%32.03%32.26%30.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kashiwa Reysol (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.04%2.38quota equa
EV -3.73%
Vantaggio -1.63%
Kelly -2.89%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.29

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.33%42.01%42.07%42.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.182.202.2947.62%45.85%45.56%43.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.60%3.50quota equa
EV -3.35%
Vantaggio -0.990%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.78%28.60%28.61%29.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.193.203.3832.26%31.32%31.25%29.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -2.51%E -0.757%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.24%EV -3.73%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.62%EV -3.35%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 07:50
Marathon Bet3.26I 30.67%NM 28.66%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -7.93%E -3.62%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.66%EV -6.78%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 07:55
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 07:20
BetAnything3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 07:30
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 06:15
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 07:05
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.49%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 07:05
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.49%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 07:05
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 07:25
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 07:20
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 07:19
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 07:20
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 07:20
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.49%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 07:33
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.49%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 07:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 06:50
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 06:50
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 06:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 06:50
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -11.71%E -5.58%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.49%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 07:34
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -10.44%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 07:05
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -14.84%E -5.12%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -11.71%E -5.58%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -9.92%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-16 07:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.