Language:English
Vissel Kobe v V-Varen Nagasaki
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vissel Kobe (Local)
Prediction 58.71%1.70fair odd
EV -4.31%
Edge -2.64%
Kelly -6.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.05%58.67%58.72%60.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.581.581.6366.23%63.12%63.09%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
V-Varen Nagasaki (Visit)
Prediction 17.00%5.88fair odd
EV +1.32%
Edge +0.222%
Kelly +0.266%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 5.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.92%17.00%17.02%18.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.385.505.9620.83%18.58%18.18%16.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.29%4.12fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.520%
Kelly -0.692%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%24.33%24.26%25.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.743.754.0328.57%26.76%26.67%24.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vissel Kobe (Local): 58.71%; V-Varen Nagasaki (Visit): 17.00%; Draw: 24.29%. For V-Varen Nagasaki (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.96, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.43%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 15.92%EV +1.32%E +0.222%K +0.266%G +0.004% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.66%EV -2.58%E -0.644%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.08%EV -6.66%E -4.19%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV -1.40%E -0.241%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.68%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.74%EV -4.90%E -3.02%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.25%E -0.391%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -6.47%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -6.66%E -4.19%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV -3.10%E -0.544%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -7.68%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -10.77%E -7.08%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -3.10%E -0.544%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.25%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.07%EV -4.31%E -2.64%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.04%EV -3.95%E -0.699%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.89%EV -2.10%E -0.520%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -4.90%E -3.02%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.07%EV -4.80%E -0.857%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -2.82%E -0.706%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -4.90%E -3.02%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.07%EV -4.80%E -0.857%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -2.82%E -0.706%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -4.90%E -3.02%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.07%EV -4.80%E -0.857%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -2.82%E -0.706%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -4.31%E -2.64%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -4.80%E -0.857%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -11.33%E -3.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 09:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -4.31%E -2.64%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -4.80%E -0.857%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -11.33%E -3.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -5.48%E -3.41%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.25%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 08:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.07%E -3.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.25%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.64%EV -6.66%E -4.19%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -7.20%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -6.66%E -4.19%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -7.68%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 09:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -5.48%E -3.41%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -5.48%E -3.41%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.07%E -3.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 10:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.07%E -3.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 10:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.07%E -3.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 10:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.07%E -3.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 10:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.07%E -3.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 10:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.07%E -3.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 10:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.07%E -3.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 10:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.90%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.90%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.90%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.90%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -7.24%E -4.59%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -8.20%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.76%E -3.88%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -7.24%E -4.59%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -8.20%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.76%E -3.88%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -8.20%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -13.76%E -3.88%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.35%EV -7.24%E -4.59%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -9.90%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.68%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.16%EV -7.24%E -4.59%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -9.90%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.90%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -5.48%E -3.41%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -10.75%E -2.05%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.25%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -6.07%E -3.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -10.75%E -2.05%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.90%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.87%EV -7.24%E -4.59%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -10.75%E -2.05%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -10.11%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.64%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -10.75%E -2.05%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.05%EV -8.17%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 09:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.48%EV -7.24%E -4.59%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -10.75%E -2.05%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -6.07%E -3.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -11.60%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.12%EV -6.47%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.06%EV -11.35%E -7.52%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.15%EV -11.60%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -8.90%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 09:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.41%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -15.00%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -5.25%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 08:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.00%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.05%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -15.00%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -14.97%E -4.28%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -10.18%E -6.65%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -15.00%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.15%EV -9.59%E -6.23%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -16.70%E -3.41%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.68%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -18.40%E -3.83%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.11%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -18.40%E -3.83%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.11%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -18.40%E -3.83%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.11%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -18.40%E -3.83%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.11%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.32% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.32% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.32% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.32% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52% | 2.0% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |