默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vissel Kobe v V-Varen Nagasaki

开赛时间: 2026-09-06 10:03 UTC

最终结果: Vissel Kobe 3–1 V-Varen Nagasaki

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

50 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vissel Kobe (主队)

预测 58.71%1.70公平赔率
EV -4.31%
优势 -2.64%
Kelly -6.84%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.63

博彩公司预测分布
57.05%58.67%58.72%60.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.511.581.581.6366.23%63.12%63.09%61.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

V-Varen Nagasaki (客队)

预测 17.00%5.88公平赔率
EV +1.32%
优势 +0.222%
Kelly +0.266%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 5.96

博彩公司预测分布
15.92%17.00%17.02%18.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.385.505.9620.83%18.58%18.18%16.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.29%4.12公平赔率
EV -2.10%
优势 -0.520%
Kelly -0.692%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.03

博彩公司预测分布
23.36%24.33%24.26%25.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.743.754.0328.57%26.76%26.67%24.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Vissel Kobe (主队):58.71%;V-Varen Nagasaki (客队):17.00%;平局:24.29%。 对于“V-Varen Nagasaki (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.88。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.96,对应+1.32%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.43%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.92%EV +1.32%E +0.222%K +0.266%G +0.004%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.66%EV -2.58%E -0.644%K -0.858%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 09:55
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.08%EV -6.66%E -4.19%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV -1.40%E -0.241%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.68%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 08:50
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.74%EV -4.90%E -3.02%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.25%E -0.391%K -0.473%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -6.47%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 08:54
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -6.66%E -4.19%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV -3.10%E -0.544%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -7.68%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -10.77%E -7.08%K -20.71%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -3.10%E -0.544%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.25%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 08:45
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.07%EV -4.31%E -2.64%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.04%EV -3.95%E -0.699%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.89%EV -2.10%E -0.520%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -4.90%E -3.02%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.07%EV -4.80%E -0.857%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -2.82%E -0.706%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -4.90%E -3.02%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.07%EV -4.80%E -0.857%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -2.82%E -0.706%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 09:55
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -4.90%E -3.02%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.07%EV -4.80%E -0.857%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -2.82%E -0.706%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -4.31%E -2.64%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -4.80%E -0.857%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -11.33%E -3.10%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 09:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -4.31%E -2.64%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -4.80%E -0.857%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -11.33%E -3.10%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 09:05
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -5.48%E -3.41%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.25%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 08:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.07%E -3.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.25%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 08:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.64%EV -6.66%E -4.19%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -7.20%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 08:54
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -6.66%E -4.19%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -7.68%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 09:25
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -5.48%E -3.41%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -5.48%E -3.41%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 09:05
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.07%E -3.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 10:05
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.07%E -3.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.07%E -3.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 10:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.07%E -3.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 10:05
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.07%E -3.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 10:05
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.07%E -3.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 10:05
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.07%E -3.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 10:05
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.90%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 09:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.90%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 09:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.90%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 09:50
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.90%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 09:55
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 09:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -7.24%E -4.59%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -8.20%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.76%E -3.88%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 09:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -7.24%E -4.59%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -8.20%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.76%E -3.88%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 09:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -8.20%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -13.76%E -3.88%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 09:05
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.35%EV -7.24%E -4.59%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -9.90%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.68%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 08:45
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.16%EV -7.24%E -4.59%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -9.90%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.90%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 08:45
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -5.48%E -3.41%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -10.75%E -2.05%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.25%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 09:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -6.07%E -3.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -10.75%E -2.05%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.90%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 09:55
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.87%EV -7.24%E -4.59%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -10.75%E -2.05%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -10.11%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 08:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.64%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -10.75%E -2.05%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.05%EV -8.17%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 09:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.48%EV -7.24%E -4.59%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -10.75%E -2.05%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 08:55
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -6.07%E -3.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -11.60%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.12%EV -6.47%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 09:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.06%EV -11.35%E -7.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.15%EV -11.60%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -8.90%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 09:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.41%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -15.00%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -5.25%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 08:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.00%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 09:45
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.05%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -15.00%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -14.97%E -4.28%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 08:50
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -10.18%E -6.65%K -19.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -15.00%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 08:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.15%EV -9.59%E -6.23%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -16.70%E -3.41%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.68%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 08:45
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -18.40%E -3.83%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.11%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 09:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -18.40%E -3.83%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.11%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 09:55
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -18.40%E -3.83%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.11%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 09:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -18.40%E -3.83%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.11%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 09:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.32%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%0.9%2026-09-06 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.32%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%0.9%2026-09-06 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.32%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%0.9%2026-09-06 09:55
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.32%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%0.9%2026-09-06 09:55
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62%1.5%2026-09-06 09:55
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52%2.0%2026-09-06 09:55