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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Vissel Kobe v Nagoya Grampus

开赛时间： 2026-04-11 06:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

22 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vissel Kobe (主队)

预测 47.33%2.11公平赔率
EV -3.93%
优势 -1.94%
Kelly -3.81%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.03

博彩公司预测分布
46.16%47.26%47.29%48.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.861.951.952.0353.76%51.28%51.28%49.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

Nagoya Grampus (客队)

预测 25.18%3.97公平赔率
EV -1.81%
优势 -0.465%
Kelly -0.625%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.90

博彩公司预测分布
24.80%25.26%25.23%26.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.353.613.603.9029.85%27.68%27.78%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.50%3.64公平赔率
EV -3.48%
优势 -0.992%
Kelly -1.39%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.51

博彩公司预测分布
26.44%27.48%27.48%28.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.323.333.5131.25%30.11%30.08%28.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Vissel Kobe (主队)：47.33%；Nagoya Grampus (客队)：25.18%；平局：27.50%。 对于“Nagoya Grampus (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.97。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.90，期望值为-1.81%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.64%EV -3.93%E -1.94%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.80%EV -1.81%E -0.465%K -0.625%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.56%EV -3.48%E -0.992%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 05:50
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -5.59%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.13%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 05:50
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.85%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.51%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 05:55
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 05:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -6.30%E -3.18%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.59%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.51%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 05:54
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -6.30%E -3.18%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.85%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -6.51%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 03:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -6.77%E -3.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -5.84%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -7.61%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 05:49
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -8.11%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 05:50
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -8.11%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 05:50
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 05:45
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 05:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 05:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 05:45
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 03:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 02:55
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 02:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 03:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -9.13%E -4.76%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -5.13%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 05:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.60%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 05:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.03%E -5.87%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 05:55
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -11.50%E -6.15%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 05:23
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -11.97%E -6.44%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -15.66%E -4.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 05:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-04-11 05:50