La scuola delle quote

Vissel Kobe v Nagoya Grampus

Inizio: 2026-04-11 06:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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22 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Vissel Kobe (Casa)

Previsione 47.33%2.11quota equa
EV -3.93%
Vantaggio -1.94%
Kelly -3.81%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.16%47.26%47.29%48.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.861.951.952.0353.76%51.28%51.28%49.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nagoya Grampus (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.18%3.97quota equa
EV -1.81%
Vantaggio -0.465%
Kelly -0.625%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.80%25.26%25.23%26.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.353.613.603.9029.85%27.68%27.78%25.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.50%3.64quota equa
EV -3.48%
Vantaggio -0.992%
Kelly -1.39%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.44%27.48%27.48%28.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.323.333.5131.25%30.11%30.08%28.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 47.64%EV -3.93%E -1.94%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.80%EV -1.81%E -0.465%K -0.625%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.56%EV -3.48%E -0.992%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 05:50
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -5.59%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.13%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 05:50
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.85%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.51%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 05:55
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 05:50
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -6.30%E -3.18%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.59%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.51%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 05:54
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -6.30%E -3.18%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.85%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -6.51%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 03:00
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -6.77%E -3.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -5.84%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -7.61%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 05:49
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -8.11%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 05:50
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -8.11%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 05:50
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 05:45
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 05:49
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 05:45
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 05:45
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 03:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 02:55
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 02:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 03:00
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -9.13%E -4.76%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.88%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -5.13%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 05:50
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.60%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 05:55
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.03%E -5.87%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 05:55
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -11.50%E -6.15%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -9.36%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 05:23
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -11.97%E -6.44%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -15.66%E -4.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -9.26%E -2.81%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 05:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-04-11 05:50