默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

V-Varen Nagasaki v Kyoto Purple Sanga

开赛时间: 2026-08-09 10:00 UTC

最终结果: V-Varen Nagasaki 2–1 Kyoto Purple Sanga

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

V-Varen Nagasaki (主队)

预测 28.32%3.53公平赔率
EV -0.025%
优势 -0.007%
Kelly -0.010%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.53

博彩公司预测分布
26.93%28.41%28.26%30.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.253.253.5333.33%30.73%30.77%28.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kyoto Purple Sanga (客队)

预测 42.35%2.36公平赔率
EV -0.479%
优势 -0.204%
Kelly -0.355%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.35

博彩公司预测分布
39.86%42.16%42.44%43.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.192.182.3547.62%45.66%45.87%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.33%3.41公平赔率
EV -2.04%
优势 -0.611%
Kelly -0.872%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.34

博彩公司预测分布
28.54%29.43%29.30%30.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.113.103.3433.33%32.11%32.26%29.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:V-Varen Nagasaki (主队):28.32%;Kyoto Purple Sanga (客队):42.35%;平局:29.33%。 对于“V-Varen Nagasaki (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.531。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.530,期望值为-0.025%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 26.93%EV -0.025%E -0.007%K -0.010%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.81%EV -8.10%E -3.73%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -4.68%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 27.27%EV -0.592%E -0.169%K -0.236%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.92%EV -5.56%E -2.49%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.82%EV -5.85%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 09:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 27.27%EV -0.592%E -0.169%K -0.236%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.92%EV -5.56%E -2.49%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.82%EV -5.85%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 09:00
BetAnything🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 27.27%EV -0.592%E -0.169%K -0.236%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.92%EV -5.56%E -2.49%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.82%EV -5.85%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 09:00
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 09:45
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.95%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 09:30
Pinnacle🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.57%EV -4.56%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.60%EV -4.29%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.83%EV -2.04%E -0.611%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 09:55
SportsBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.68%E -3.52%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.61%E -2.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 09:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 09:30
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.61%E -2.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 09:29
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.08%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 09:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.95%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 09:55
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -0.479%E -0.204%K -0.355%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -7.61%E -2.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 06:34
Marathon Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -5.98%E -2.70%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -6.73%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 09:55
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -7.68%E -3.52%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -9.08%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 09:30
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -7.68%E -3.52%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -9.08%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 09:30
Betclic (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.69%EV -9.80%E -4.60%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.08%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 09:32
Unibet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.08%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 09:34
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 09:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 09:45
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -2.60%E -1.13%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.21%E -0.974%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 08:09
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.95%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 09:00
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 09:45
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 09:30
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 09:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.79%E -3.42%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.95%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 09:30
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -2.60%E -1.13%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 06:55
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -2.60%E -1.13%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 06:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -2.60%E -1.13%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 06:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -2.60%E -1.13%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 06:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.08%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 09:30
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -13.62%E -4.47%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -4.71%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.61%E -2.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 08:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -4.71%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.08%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 08:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-08-09 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-08-09 09:55
Matchbook◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-08-09 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-08-09 09:55
Smarkets◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.53%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%2.3%2026-08-09 09:55
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.74%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%3.1%2026-08-09 09:55