Idioma:Español
V-Varen Nagasaki v Kyoto Purple Sanga
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
V-Varen Nagasaki (Local)
Predicción 28.32%3.53momio equitativo
EV -0.025%
Ventaja -0.007%
Kelly -0.010%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.93%28.41%28.26%30.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.253.253.5333.33%30.73%30.77%28.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visitante)
Predicción 42.35%2.36momio equitativo
EV -0.479%
Ventaja -0.204%
Kelly -0.355%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.86%42.16%42.44%43.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.192.182.3547.62%45.66%45.87%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.33%3.41momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -0.611%
Kelly -0.872%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.54%29.43%29.30%30.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.113.103.3433.33%32.11%32.26%29.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: V-Varen Nagasaki (Local): 28.32%; Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visitante): 42.35%; Empate: 29.33%. Para V-Varen Nagasaki (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.531. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.530, con un valor esperado de -0.025%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.93%EV -0.025%E -0.007%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.81%EV -8.10%E -3.73%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -4.68%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.27%EV -0.592%E -0.169%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.92%EV -5.56%E -2.49%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.82%EV -5.85%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.27%EV -0.592%E -0.169%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.92%EV -5.56%E -2.49%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.82%EV -5.85%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 09:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.27%EV -0.592%E -0.169%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.92%EV -5.56%E -2.49%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.82%EV -5.85%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 09:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 09:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.95%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.57%EV -4.56%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.60%EV -4.29%E -1.90%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.83%EV -2.04%E -0.611%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.68%E -3.52%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.61%E -2.42%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 09:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.61%E -2.42%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 09:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.08%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.95%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -0.479%E -0.204%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -7.61%E -2.42%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 06:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -5.98%E -2.70%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -6.73%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -7.68%E -3.52%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -9.08%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -7.68%E -3.52%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -9.08%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.69%EV -9.80%E -4.60%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.08%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 09:32 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.08%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 09:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-09 09:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-09 09:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -2.60%E -1.13%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.21%E -0.974%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 08:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.95%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-09 09:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-09 09:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.79%E -3.42%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.95%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -2.60%E -1.13%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 06:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -2.60%E -1.13%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 06:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -2.60%E -1.13%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 06:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -2.60%E -1.13%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 06:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.08%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -13.62%E -4.47%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -4.71%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.61%E -2.42%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 08:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -4.71%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.08%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 08:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-09 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.53% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61% | 2.3% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.74% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14% | 3.1% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |